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#1 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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NEW PACE= Delaware
8/22
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Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
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#2 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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rest 8/22
rest of card
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Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
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#3 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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Results
not bad a day
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Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
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#4 |
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Grade 1 Aspiree
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 678
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Mike,
Very nice presentation....I caught a few myself including race 4 & 5 and an exacta The winner in race 5, #7 was also top horse in RDSS as well as a New Pace pick and paid $26. Also the winner of race 4 #2 which paid $16 and change was also the dominant early and the top quirin speed (7) horse. That proved to be a great combo. Ernie |
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#5 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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Wed 8/24
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Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
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#6 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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rest of 8/24
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Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
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#7 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saratoga Springs
Posts: 1,547
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What a difference a day makes, great stuff Mike, and great presentation , like Ernie stated already.
Patrick
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http://pktruckdriver.blogspot.com/ |
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#8 | |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Reno, NV
Posts: 119
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Quote:
This makes an absolutely HUGE difference. Think of it as a horse that is within 1 point is worthy of a bet at 15/1 but not at 3/1.
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The Horse Handicapping Authority .com email address: DaveSchwReno@Gmail.com Facebook: Talking Handicapping |
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#9 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 9,258
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Please see my analysis of this race in the NewPace discussion Forum.
There is no horse within 1 point of being a contender (excepting the #5 and #7 who are 1 point away from each other and we'd like to be able to choose one or the other), so (as I see it) Dave's advice, while generally applicable, is not specifically applicable here. However, there is specific NP method advice which does the job, though always looking to learn, if I got something wrong. Ted
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RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ Last edited by Ted Craven; 08-25-2011 at 02:01 PM. |
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#10 |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Log it as it is
First off I used the same lines as posted in the RDSS post except for
horse 6 Line two was used there I used Line 1 as line 2 the horse was beaten by 11 lengths No matter as line 1 is a throw out to at 7th on Perceptor total The track was fast Horse 5 lines 2 3 4 and 5 all were dismal on fast dirt route dist, so why use line 1 in the slop? but to be fair I used the same line But at the bottom here The 5 would be a toss # 4 VDC 3 on BLBL But not in top 3 actual so Logging it as it is for me the race is a miss Next Last edited by Ted Craven; 08-25-2011 at 06:32 PM. |
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