Gulfstream Park, St. Patrick's Day - Pace and Cap

Seven Furlongs · 03-16-2015, 06:59 AM

Any one up for some Matching for tomorrow's Gulfstream Park card?

Regrettably there aren't a lot of non-maiden dirt races on the card, but, maybe with the theme of green they carded a glut of turf races to honour the patron saint of mid-march inebriation. Still, the card might be worth a look.

mowens33 · 03-16-2015, 10:08 AM

I'm working but I will do my best to post.

Mike

The Pook · 03-16-2015, 03:44 PM

Race 1 will be a pass for me. Can't grab a hold of that one.

The Pook · 03-16-2015, 04:11 PM

Race 2

The Pook · 03-16-2015, 04:26 PM

Race 3

The Pook · 03-16-2015, 04:27 PM

Race 4 is a pass.

Seven Furlongs · 03-17-2015, 06:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Pook

Race 1 will be a pass for me. Can't grab a hold of that one.

I felt the same so i did the same. Not a race for me.

Seven Furlongs · 03-17-2015, 06:51 AM

2nd race, 6f on the dirt for low level claimers.

This is not a heavy pressure race as I have the pack distribution as follows:

E #3

EP #2, #7

P #1, #4

C #5, #6

I'm more inclined to think an E or EP horse will take it, so one of the 2, 3 or 7. Of those 3, the 2 and the 3 are the more interesting horses.

For the 2, it is first off of a long layoff, a warning sign in general but even more so at this class level. It has only run 4 furlongs in the last month and coming off of a layoff, you'd like to see a little more activity. Additionally, it is a 4 year old going up against older horses, so a slight negative.

For the 3, it actually looks decent. Its form is okay, has shown 12f of activity in the last month and is getting blinkers for the first time. Throw in that she is a front runner and that should be a plus.

The 5 is also a nice horse, but, its best races at Monmouth have been run with decelerating fractions, so a negative turn time. Plus, couple that it has to win off the pace in a soft paced race, it may just be vulnerable.

So, the 3 might be worth a look.

Seven Furlongs · 03-17-2015, 07:00 AM

3rd race, 6 furlongs on the dirt for n3l candidates.

Again, another race with a softer pace as only three horses are E or EP type runners, the 7, an E, and the 1 and 6, both EPs.

Of those 3, only the 7 grabs my interest, but, its form is questionable.

Of the off the pace types that might do something, I like the 4. Granted you have to go way back to its calder/gulfstream park west lines to get some good paleness, but, this horse is doing the following:

-is dropping in class
-is going from a turf sprint to a dirt sprint.

I have no idea why this horse has been running on the turf. Is it because turf purses are higher? Is it greed? Who knows, but regardless of that, this horse looks to better on the dirt than the grass. Throw in that the horse went 5 wide on the turn in its last race, the horse has more than enough positives to show that it will fire.

Since it isn't the ML favourite, the 4 might be worth a look.

The Pook · 03-16-2015, 03:39 PM

I will match along and keep you guys company. Gulfstream on a Tuesday? Top of the afternoon to ya me laddies. (or is this Scottish?)

Pook

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03-16-2015, 06:59 AM	#1
Seven Furlongs Grade 1 Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 115	Gulfstream Park, St. Patrick's Day Any one up for some Matching for tomorrow's Gulfstream Park card? Regrettably there aren't a lot of non-maiden dirt races on the card, but, maybe with the theme of green they carded a glut of turf races to honour the patron saint of mid-march inebriation. Still, the card might be worth a look.

03-16-2015, 10:08 AM	#2
mowens33 Grade 1 Join Date: Jan 2014 Location: CAMBRIDGE,MA Posts: 1,065	I'm working but I will do my best to post. Mike

03-16-2015, 03:44 PM	#3
The Pook Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2014 Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada Posts: 2,796	Race 1 will be a pass for me. Can't grab a hold of that one.

03-16-2015, 04:11 PM	#4
The Pook Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2014 Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada Posts: 2,796	Race 2 Attached Images

03-16-2015, 04:26 PM	#5
The Pook Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2014 Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada Posts: 2,796	Race 3 Attached Images

03-16-2015, 04:27 PM	#6
The Pook Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2014 Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada Posts: 2,796	Race 4 is a pass.

03-17-2015, 06:51 AM	#8
Seven Furlongs Grade 1 Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 115	2nd race, 6f on the dirt for low level claimers. This is not a heavy pressure race as I have the pack distribution as follows: E #3 EP #2, #7 P #1, #4 C #5, #6 I'm more inclined to think an E or EP horse will take it, so one of the 2, 3 or 7. Of those 3, the 2 and the 3 are the more interesting horses. For the 2, it is first off of a long layoff, a warning sign in general but even more so at this class level. It has only run 4 furlongs in the last month and coming off of a layoff, you'd like to see a little more activity. Additionally, it is a 4 year old going up against older horses, so a slight negative. For the 3, it actually looks decent. Its form is okay, has shown 12f of activity in the last month and is getting blinkers for the first time. Throw in that she is a front runner and that should be a plus. The 5 is also a nice horse, but, its best races at Monmouth have been run with decelerating fractions, so a negative turn time. Plus, couple that it has to win off the pace in a soft paced race, it may just be vulnerable. So, the 3 might be worth a look.

03-17-2015, 07:00 AM	#9
Seven Furlongs Grade 1 Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 115	3rd race, 6 furlongs on the dirt for n3l candidates. Again, another race with a softer pace as only three horses are E or EP type runners, the 7, an E, and the 1 and 6, both EPs. Of those 3, only the 7 grabs my interest, but, its form is questionable. Of the off the pace types that might do something, I like the 4. Granted you have to go way back to its calder/gulfstream park west lines to get some good paleness, but, this horse is doing the following: -is dropping in class -is going from a turf sprint to a dirt sprint. I have no idea why this horse has been running on the turf. Is it because turf purses are higher? Is it greed? Who knows, but regardless of that, this horse looks to better on the dirt than the grass. Throw in that the horse went 5 wide on the turn in its last race, the horse has more than enough positives to show that it will fire. Since it isn't the ML favourite, the 4 might be worth a look.

03-16-2015, 03:39 PM	#10
The Pook Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2014 Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada Posts: 2,796	I will match along and keep you guys company. Gulfstream on a Tuesday? Top of the afternoon to ya me laddies. (or is this Scottish?) Pook