Good DD Hit Parx R5-6 May6 - Pace and Cap

Lt1 · 05-06-2025, 03:55 PM

Caught this Nice DD hit. My picks.
R1 4-1-8-6
R2 6-7-3-5
R3 2-3-4-5
R4 1-6-3-4
R5 4-6-3-5 LS2 MDNS
R6 6-7-2-5 LS4
R7 8-1-5-3
R8 6-1-3-4 LS5
R9 3-7-5-6
R10 6-3-4-2 LS9 MDNS
GOOD LUCK
Winning Ticket
May 6 2:21:14 PM Complete Parx Racing 5 Double $2.00 3.4.6/2,6,7 $18.00 $126.60 $108.60
Winning Combo
6{$12.40] 2[$29.60]
Screen Shots
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The R5 winner tiered #2 on both screens. the R6 winner tiered #3 BL/BL & #4 RX.
Tim

57viking · 05-06-2025, 04:31 PM

Hi Tim ....In Race 6 , why did you have the 5 has the 4th pick despite its strong data ?

Jim

kahunab · 05-06-2025, 05:40 PM

Nice one Tim! Good call on the 2 in race 6.

Lt1 · 05-06-2025, 08:32 PM

Hi Jim. As you know I don't blindly follow the tier rankings but also employ Scott form factors and Quirin failure approach.[both are available on the site] The had a recency defect & stretch loss defect so I downgraded it. As far as the key pick the 6 loses ground on the turn and based on my numerous surveys they just don't win very often. I almost made the 2 my key but its' lengths behind at the 1st 2 calls were a concerned at the dist but it was the counter energy horse and had ISR. I should have made it the key but instead stuck with 5.
Tim
Tim

Lt1 · 05-06-2025, 08:39 PM

Thanks Dick. I almost made it my key but I chicken out due its' position at the 1st 2 calls, however its' CE status and ISR made me move it into the 3rd slot. Thankfully it worked out.
Tim

dadams6357 · 05-06-2025, 09:19 PM

Tim
Nice one...I myself took a beating at Prx today.
Felt like I got through with 12 rounds with
Mohamed Ali in his youth.
Oh well tomorrow is another day.
Don

Lt1 · 05-06-2025, 11:04 PM

Thanks Don. I know that feeling when you can't pick a winner and when you do it gets dqed. Been there & done that.
Tim

Jimmy R · 05-07-2025, 07:32 AM

Great explanation!

Lt1 · 05-07-2025, 08:45 AM

Jim glad the explanation was of some help.
Tim

05-06-2025, 03:55 PM	#1
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 11,474	Good DD Hit Parx R5-6 May6 Caught this Nice DD hit. My picks. R1 4-1-8-6 R2 6-7-3-5 R3 2-3-4-5 R4 1-6-3-4 R5 4-6-3-5 LS2 MDNS R6 6-7-2-5 LS4 R7 8-1-5-3 R8 6-1-3-4 LS5 R9 3-7-5-6 R10 6-3-4-2 LS9 MDNS GOOD LUCK Winning Ticket May 6 2:21:14 PM Complete Parx Racing 5 Double $2.00 3.4.6/2,6,7 $18.00 $126.60 $108.60 Winning Combo 6{$12.40] 2[$29.60] Screen Shots The R5 winner tiered #2 on both screens. the R6 winner tiered #3 BL/BL & #4 RX. Tim __________________ Trust but verify

05-06-2025, 08:39 PM	#5
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 11,474	Thanks Dick. I almost made it my key but I chicken out due its' position at the 1st 2 calls, however its' CE status and ISR made me move it into the 3rd slot. Thankfully it worked out. Tim __________________ Trust but verify Last edited by Lt1; 05-06-2025 at 08:46 PM.

05-06-2025, 11:04 PM	#7
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 11,474	Thanks Don. I know that feeling when you can't pick a winner and when you do it gets dqed. Been there & done that. Tim __________________ Trust but verify

05-07-2025, 07:32 AM	#8
Jimmy R Grade 1 Join Date: May 2015 Location: Close to PRX Posts: 234	Great explanation! __________________ May the HORSE be with you! - Harvey Pack

05-07-2025, 08:45 AM	#9
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 11,474	Jim glad the explanation was of some help. Tim __________________ Trust but verify

05-06-2025, 04:31 PM	#2
57viking Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2020 Location: Vermont Posts: 167	Hi Tim ....In Race 6 , why did you have the 5 has the 4th pick despite its strong data ? Jim

05-06-2025, 05:40 PM	#3
kahunab Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: Colorado Posts: 324	Nice one Tim! Good call on the 2 in race 6. __________________ Haakon 47 'Something magical happens when you bring together a group of people from different disciplines with a common purpose.' Mark Stefik Palo Alto Research Centre Fellow

05-06-2025, 08:32 PM	#4
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 11,474	Hi Jim. As you know I don't blindly follow the tier rankings but also employ Scott form factors and Quirin failure approach.[both are available on the site] The had a recency defect & stretch loss defect so I downgraded it. As far as the key pick the 6 loses ground on the turn and based on my numerous surveys they just don't win very often. I almost made the 2 my key but its' lengths behind at the 1st 2 calls were a concerned at the dist but it was the counter energy horse and had ISR. I should have made it the key but instead stuck with 5. Tim Tim __________________ Trust but verify Last edited by Lt1; 05-06-2025 at 08:45 PM.

05-06-2025, 09:19 PM	#6
dadams6357 Grade 1 Join Date: Mar 2015 Location: Downers Grove, Il Posts: 530	Tim Nice one...I myself took a beating at Prx today. Felt like I got through with 12 rounds with Mohamed Ali in his youth. Oh well tomorrow is another day. Don

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