Ok DD Hit Parx R7-8 9-24 - Pace and Cap

Lt1 · 09-24-2025, 05:02 PM

Hit this ok dd. My picks
ARX 9-24
TRK FAST
R1 2-7-1-3
R2 5-4-6
R3 6-5-1-2 MDNS
R4 1-6-5-2
R5 5-7-3-4
R6 1-8-7-5
R7 1-6-5-7 MDNS 1FTS
R8 1-6-5-3LLS7
R9 6-9-1-3 LS4
GOOD LUCK
Tim
Winning Ticket
Sep 24 3:17:23 PM Complete Parx Racing 7 Double $2.00 1.5.6/1,5,6 $18.00 $79.00 $61.00
Winning Combo
5[$14.40] 5[$9.80]
Screen Shots
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The R7 winner tiered #3 on both screens. the R8 winner tiered #4 BL/BL & #5 RX.
Tim

darmar · 09-24-2025, 10:26 PM

Nice work on this one Tim on a slow day
Congrats
Darryl

Lt1 · 09-25-2025, 06:35 AM

Thanks Darryl.
Tim

The Pook · 09-25-2025, 11:58 AM

So once again Tim I assume the #5 in the second race was moved up because the horses tiered atop had more defects than the #5?

Mike

Lt1 · 09-25-2025, 12:36 PM

Hi Mike. Either that or a % med that was too high or low, or in the case of the 4 it had a 10 bal too high to win or it had failures in recent races. Unfortunately I discarded my paper work so I can't give more info but be assured that I always have a valid reason[s] to upgrade or downgrade a horse.
Tim
Tim

lp750roadster · 10-07-2025, 10:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lt1

Hi Mike. Either that or a % med that was too high or low, or in the case of the 4 it had a 10 bal too high to win or it had failures in recent races. Unfortunately I discarded my paper work so I can't give more info but be assured that I always have a valid reason[s] to upgrade or downgrade a horse.
Tim
Tim

What does % med mean in this context. What is a 10 bal?

dadams6357 · 09-27-2025, 06:02 PM

Tim
You might keep those notes you throw away...
might be gold nuggets in them papers.
Great consistent handicapping.
Got to love it.
Don

Lt1 · 09-27-2025, 07:01 PM

Thanks Don. Usually I don't get many questions and some times I don't even use my form.
Tim

Lt1 · 10-08-2025, 12:37 AM

Hi again LP. Ok %med refers to the amount of energy a horse expends from the start of the race to the 2nd call. IN the horses' pps if you click on the energy tab you will see the %med for each of the races in the pps. In general %meds below 67.0[too low] or 70.0[too high] don't win. If one keeps models[I do] by surface and dist based on your capping you will see that there is a define range that winners run. For example at Parx based on my capping the range is 67.4-70.0. For me to rank a horse as too early or late I require either 3 races showing below 67.0 or above 70.0. Most people don't keep models so they have no clue as to this info so many don't use it. As to balance horses with a bal over 8 rarely win[some turf races may nave a little] Hope that helps
Tim

lp750roadster · 10-08-2025, 01:44 AM

Thanks again for the wisdom. I see I have a lot to learn.

09-24-2025, 05:02 PM	#1
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 11,460	Ok DD Hit Parx R7-8 9-24 Hit this ok dd. My picks ARX 9-24 TRK FAST R1 2-7-1-3 R2 5-4-6 R3 6-5-1-2 MDNS R4 1-6-5-2 R5 5-7-3-4 R6 1-8-7-5 R7 1-6-5-7 MDNS 1FTS R8 1-6-5-3LLS7 R9 6-9-1-3 LS4 GOOD LUCK Tim Winning Ticket Sep 24 3:17:23 PM Complete Parx Racing 7 Double $2.00 1.5.6/1,5,6 $18.00 $79.00 $61.00 Winning Combo 5[$14.40] 5[$9.80] Screen Shots The R7 winner tiered #3 on both screens. the R8 winner tiered #4 BL/BL & #5 RX. Tim __________________ Trust but verify

09-27-2025, 07:01 PM	#8
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 11,460	Thanks Don. Usually I don't get many questions and some times I don't even use my form. Tim __________________ Trust but verify

10-08-2025, 12:37 AM	#9
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 11,460	Hi again LP. Ok %med refers to the amount of energy a horse expends from the start of the race to the 2nd call. IN the horses' pps if you click on the energy tab you will see the %med for each of the races in the pps. In general %meds below 67.0[too low] or 70.0[too high] don't win. If one keeps models[I do] by surface and dist based on your capping you will see that there is a define range that winners run. For example at Parx based on my capping the range is 67.4-70.0. For me to rank a horse as too early or late I require either 3 races showing below 67.0 or above 70.0. Most people don't keep models so they have no clue as to this info so many don't use it. As to balance horses with a bal over 8 rarely win[some turf races may nave a little] Hope that helps Tim __________________ Trust but verify

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09-24-2025, 10:26 PM	#2
darmar Grade 1 Join Date: Mar 2013 Location: Maple Ridge, B.C. Canada Posts: 3,628	Nice work on this one Tim on a slow day Congrats Darryl

09-25-2025, 06:35 AM	#3
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 11,460	Thanks Darryl. Tim __________________ Trust but verify

09-25-2025, 11:58 AM	#4
The Pook Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2014 Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada Posts: 2,796	So once again Tim I assume the #5 in the second race was moved up because the horses tiered atop had more defects than the #5? Mike __________________ *"A fool and his money are soon parted"*

09-25-2025, 12:36 PM	#5
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 11,460	Hi Mike. Either that or a % med that was too high or low, or in the case of the 4 it had a 10 bal too high to win or it had failures in recent races. Unfortunately I discarded my paper work so I can't give more info but be assured that I always have a valid reason[s] to upgrade or downgrade a horse. Tim Tim __________________ Trust but verify

09-27-2025, 06:02 PM	#7
dadams6357 Grade 1 Join Date: Mar 2015 Location: Downers Grove, Il Posts: 529	Tim You might keep those notes you throw away... might be gold nuggets in them papers. Great consistent handicapping. Got to love it. Don

10-08-2025, 01:44 AM	#10
lp750roadster AlwNW1X Join Date: Oct 2025 Posts: 4	Thanks again for the wisdom. I see I have a lot to learn.