Saturday at Tampa - Pace and Cap

PeteC · 02-20-2010, 10:34 AM

I thought this race was pretty interesting at Tampa today. Lots of horses from different tracks, a router cutting back to seven furlongs and many horses that like to run early.

#1 Early fighter. Last race power line from Haw: 21.1 44 2-hd 1-hd 1-1.5 1-no

#2 Also early, can go 22 or 22.1 at Crc. I'm not too familiar with that track but I think I've heard it is slow, so I think those fractions stack up well against #1.

#3 Early who needs a clear lead. Has been on the lead in 21.2 at Crc and 21.3 at Tam!

#5 Router that likes to sit first or second. Has not faced these faster early fractions before.

#6 Another early who has gone 22.1 at Pha.

#7 Likes to sit first or second and has been there vs a 22.1.

#8 Another early who needs a clear lead.

#9 Another early. he's only won after a clear 2c lead.

That leaves the #4 who has won twice from 4th at 1c and closed from 8th to be a close third. One of those wins was against a 22 1st call at CRC. Not exactly sure how the other tracks compare, but he's done well vs a 22 at other places. Today's pace may be faster than that at 1c but style wise he seems to be a really good fit and he seems reasonably fast.

Any other takes on the race?

Bob Cochran · 02-20-2010, 11:39 AM

Hello Pete C.

I have the experience of a high percentage of winners in 7 fur races coming from 1 of the top 2 ability ratings. You scoped out the race pretty good.
I would seriously consider #5 in my final contenders. Of course, i would
require odds higher than 2-1 after a long lay off

IMHO

Bob Cochran

mikesal57 · 02-20-2010, 12:08 PM

Hi guys..

gim me a w/p #3

tfm · 02-20-2010, 03:52 PM

, at > 4:1

PeteC · 02-20-2010, 09:12 PM

Nice call Bob! Your horse sat off the pace and finished well ahead of the rest!

Bob Cochran · 02-21-2010, 09:05 AM

Thanks PeteC, but at that price it's a pass

Just for grins,check out these 7 fur races for Sunday to see if ability times
is a factor;

CT races 7 and 9
Pha race 4
Ril race 3
Tam races 3,6,8,11
check the top 2 Ability Times

good luck, Bob C

Similar Threads
Thread	Thread Starter	Forum	Replies	Last Post
Saturday Collective/ Positional on the lead projected pace races	RichieP	Matchup Discussion	92	06-07-2009 04:39 PM
Free BRIS Contest -- Saturday, Mar. 21, 2009	alydar_ David	Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum	11	03-22-2009 12:21 PM
Tampa Bay/ Twin Spires	RichieP	General Discussion	15	12-17-2008 10:04 AM
tampa	stormbringer	General Discussion	0	12-13-2008 09:15 PM
Matchup Webinar - Saturday October 18th 2008	RichieP	Matchup Discussion	31	08-08-2008 07:56 AM

02-20-2010, 11:39 AM	#2
Bob Cochran Grade 1 Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 329	Tampa race 8 Hello Pete C. I have the experience of a high percentage of winners in 7 fur races coming from 1 of the top 2 ability ratings. You scoped out the race pretty good. I would seriously consider #5 in my final contenders. Of course, i would require odds higher than 2-1 after a long lay off IMHO Bob Cochran

02-20-2010, 12:08 PM	#3
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	Hi guys.. gim me a w/p #3 __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack

02-20-2010, 03:52 PM	#4
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	, at > 4:1

02-20-2010, 09:12 PM	#5
PeteC Grade 1 Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 611	Nice call Bob! Your horse sat off the pace and finished well ahead of the rest!

02-21-2010, 09:05 AM	#6
Bob Cochran Grade 1 Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 329	Tampa Sat Thanks PeteC, but at that price it's a pass Just for grins,check out these 7 fur races for Sunday to see if ability times is a factor; CT races 7 and 9 Pha race 4 Ril race 3 Tam races 3,6,8,11 check the top 2 Ability Times good luck, Bob C