Multi-Screening - Finding confidence since Equibase changes on 2/1 - Pace and Cap

RichieP · 03-03-2006, 07:32 PM

I did NOT bet this race today. Busy cleaning up my yard after the ice storm that hit.

Program - Validator 3
Guidelines from Howard- Beaten lenghts finish 7.5 or less - to consider an xtracted line the horse should show high speed to the 2c of the route and be on the lead or less than a lenght off it.
------------------------------------------------------------------------

My mind can NOT process the large speed ratings at many tracks that are showing up in MANY races. I am sorry a horse in a 7k claiming race does NOT run 100 speed ratings. I don't give a **** what the software shows ok?

The above lack of pattern recognition was the biggest single factor in me losing almost a thousand dollars of real money in the 3 weeks that followed Feb 1st and Equibase's changed Sr scale and variant change.

In talking with Bill and Eric last weekend I realized the both of them were suggesting kind of the same things to me but in different "language".

Bill suggested that I scroll thru races looking for races where the ratings seemed normal at least as far as from what I remembered Val 3 to " look" like
before 2/1.

Eric told me that he was amazed that I could look at a few cards of races and pick out a couple of value races after QUICKLY selecting pacelines with NO reference to models,profiles etc.

What does all the above mean? I have found something that sort of combines what both gentlemen were telling me. It pertains to the speed ratings. I have NO reasonable explanation for this PATTERN yet it IS there in spades man. Here it is:

THERE ARE CERTAIN TRACKS AND SPECIFIC DISTANCES AND CLASSES WHERE THE SPEED RATINGS MAKE TOTAL SENSE. THEY MIMIC THE LOOK OF THE SOFTWARE BEFORE THE CHANGES HAPPENED ON 2/1.

LOOK at the Santa Anita race I posted yesterday. Maiden claimer- 7f- speed ratings- 60's and low 70's. PERFECT. Open a followup and you see Howard beckoning us to work these maiden races as " all the horse's have speed ratings in the 70's". Same EXACT look and feel of yesterday's "post 2/1" race at SA.

Using the "multi-screening" process I worked thru in that race brings back all the sensory "feels" needed by an instinctual wagerer like myself yo make good wager decisions.

Fast forward to today at Aqueduct.

Race 9 - 30k claimers - 6f - # 5 is scratched

As you are about to see the HIGH speed rating following paceline selection guidelines is 91. Certainly very much in line with what I remembera much better claimer to run at a top flight circuit like NY.

Feeling a bit more comfortable already and I just scrolled thru the field once

Horse 1 paceline

RichieP · 03-03-2006, 07:33 PM

horse 2 paceline

RichieP · 03-03-2006, 07:34 PM

horse 3 paceline

RichieP · 03-03-2006, 07:36 PM

horse 4 paceline

RichieP · 03-03-2006, 07:36 PM

horse 6 paceline

RichieP · 03-03-2006, 07:37 PM

horse 7 paceline

admin · 03-03-2006, 08:38 PM

Rich
Perfect use of all the screens and a very helpful step by step
demonstration of a smallest stick on the L/E win a 6.0 sprint
and pay $24.00

Thanks Rich
your work really is helping me
I love your guts to post a complete race Not just selected readouts with no explanation
Good Skill
Bill

jms62 · 03-04-2006, 07:43 AM

fyi Rich... The race you did was cancelled on Thursday and will be rerun as the 9th on 3/4... You have a chance to play it.

jms62 · 03-04-2006, 08:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62

fyi Rich... The race you did was cancelled on Thursday and will be rerun as the 9th on 3/4... You have a chance to play it.

Sorry bout that.. It'll be rerun as the 1st on 3/4

RichieP · 03-04-2006, 08:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62

fyi Rich... The race you did was cancelled on Thursday and will be rerun as the 9th on 3/4... You have a chance to play it.

LMAO!

I just looked. Unreal. Brisbet is showing all the races ran but u are right. The horses shown dont match up witht eh entries!

well now when they actually run the race

that 4 better win ha?

lmao

Thanx JM!

Richie

03-03-2006, 07:32 PM	#1
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	Multi-Screening - Finding confidence since Equibase changes on 2/1 I did NOT bet this race today. Busy cleaning up my yard after the ice storm that hit. Program - Validator 3 Guidelines from Howard- Beaten lenghts finish 7.5 or less - to consider an xtracted line the horse should show high speed to the 2c of the route and be on the lead or less than a lenght off it. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ My mind can NOT process the large speed ratings at many tracks that are showing up in MANY races. I am sorry a horse in a 7k claiming race does NOT run 100 speed ratings. I don't give a **** what the software shows ok? The above lack of pattern recognition was the biggest single factor in me losing almost a thousand dollars of real money in the 3 weeks that followed Feb 1st and Equibase's changed Sr scale and variant change. In talking with Bill and Eric last weekend I realized the both of them were suggesting kind of the same things to me but in different "language". Bill suggested that I scroll thru races looking for races where the ratings seemed normal at least as far as from what I remembered Val 3 to " look" like before 2/1. Eric told me that he was amazed that I could look at a few cards of races and pick out a couple of value races after QUICKLY selecting pacelines with NO reference to models,profiles etc. What does all the above mean? I have found something that sort of combines what both gentlemen were telling me. It pertains to the speed ratings. I have NO reasonable explanation for this PATTERN yet it IS there in spades man. Here it is: THERE ARE CERTAIN TRACKS AND SPECIFIC DISTANCES AND CLASSES WHERE THE SPEED RATINGS MAKE TOTAL SENSE. THEY MIMIC THE LOOK OF THE SOFTWARE BEFORE THE CHANGES HAPPENED ON 2/1. LOOK at the Santa Anita race I posted yesterday. Maiden claimer- 7f- speed ratings- 60's and low 70's. PERFECT. Open a followup and you see Howard beckoning us to work these maiden races as " all the horse's have speed ratings in the 70's". Same EXACT look and feel of yesterday's "post 2/1" race at SA. Using the "multi-screening" process I worked thru in that race brings back all the sensory "feels" needed by an instinctual wagerer like myself yo make good wager decisions. Fast forward to today at Aqueduct. Race 9 - 30k claimers - 6f - # 5 is scratched As you are about to see the HIGH speed rating following paceline selection guidelines is 91. Certainly very much in line with what I remembera much better claimer to run at a top flight circuit like NY. Feeling a bit more comfortable already and I just scrolled thru the field once Horse 1 paceline Attached Images

03-03-2006, 07:33 PM	#2
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	horse 2 paceline Attached Images

03-03-2006, 07:34 PM	#3
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	horse 3 paceline Attached Images

03-03-2006, 07:36 PM	#4
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	horse 4 paceline Attached Images

03-03-2006, 07:36 PM	#5
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	horse 6 paceline Attached Images

03-03-2006, 07:37 PM	#6
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	horse 7 paceline Attached Images

03-03-2006, 08:38 PM	#7
admin Administrator Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,643	Rich Perfect use of all the screens and a very helpful step by step demonstration of a smallest stick on the L/E win a 6.0 sprint and pay $24.00 Thanks Rich your work really is helping me I love your guts to post a complete race Not just selected readouts with no explanation Good Skill Bill

03-04-2006, 07:43 AM	#8
jms62 Grade 1 Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 798	fyi Rich... The race you did was cancelled on Thursday and will be rerun as the 9th on 3/4... You have a chance to play it.