Race Analysis Process - One Way Pt 1 of 4

[Because I Can Jim]

Hi Everyone!

This series of videos is in follow up to the ones I did on Contender Selection (Click here to see that thread: http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=9310 )

In it Latekick asked to see my analysis process. It took me a bit to think aobut how to present it. I actually made a series of 8 videos going from start to finish in a race, but, scrapped it and made these instead.

In these, I just want to try to show the general process of the analysis of the race after I have selected the contenders.

Understand that the process is sort of nebulous due to the nature of horseracing/handicapping. It does nto come as one size fits all nor is it a recipe for baking a cake. Each race is different and I approach each differently.

So, what I have done is to try to show the process, yet, provide my thoughts in explaining what I did for "this" race. The process can be summed up in a couple of sentences but the explanation can take forever.

Also, be patient with some of the mistakes I make in the video such as in Part 4 I say the 7 horse went off at 2.8-1 when it actually went off at 12.8-1. I was concentrating and focussing on what I was thinking and how I was presenting it that I stutter a bit, go too fast sometimes and make some minor mistakes. After all, I am only human and it shows in my handicapping!

As always - questions, comments, criticisms, exchange of thoughts, suggestions for improvement, wanting to see something specific, etc... are all welcome. Just post!

[Because I Can Jim]

Here is part 2

[Because I Can Jim]

Horses 1 thru 5

[Because I Can Jim]

Horses 6 & 7

[Because I Can Jim]

What? Part 2 is missing?
You idiot you! Your a bum!! You can't even put up a video so how are we supposed to know that you have any clue as to what yuo are doing when you handicap?!!!! Go back home to where you came from!!! LOL

But folks, it really wasn't my fault! It is Ted's fault!!! Yeah, blame it on Ted!!! He is the techie guy!!! LOL

You see, I started to upload the video and since it takes some time I made some dinner, had a bite to eat and when I came back.... The screen showed it had uploaded. Really!!!!

Anyway, it can be fixed. It is all good. And really..... I do know what I am talking about.

[Because I Can Jim]

Here is part 3

[vderdak]

I only see bets totaling $28.00, what other bets for the remaining $14.00 is not shown, who else did you wager on, just curious.

[Because I Can Jim]

Tim,
Thanks for the kind words.
I had not considered what a 2w/4p/12s wager would look like. I definitely will look into it and if you see me change, you will know why!

vderdak,
In the 6th race I wagered on H5. See the Amwager log.
I included the Segments screen. I was considering at 1 MTP the:
H4 at 4-1
H5 at 5-1 placing a 2w/4p/8s wager on this horse
H6 at 2-1
Hindsight being what it is, I was placing too much emphasis on the early running styles in the race instead of the sustained. My intuition was hitting me in the back of the head to pass the race, but, I did not listen (a skill we all must learn to develop). As you can see from the results the H4 wired the field and the contra horses 1 and 2 came in as place and show. The H2 going off at 19-1 and paying 8.20 was a killer. For a $14 wager, the return would have been 32.80 for a profit of 18.80.
WOULDA, SHOULDA, COULDA!!!

And that is handicapping. I made a mistake even though I had the winner as one of the horses I liked.

Hope that helps.
Jim

[Because I Can Jim]

Hey Bill,

This video is in response to you question in this thread about why I chose line 5 for H5.

I hope I answer your question and that anyone else watching might get something out of it as a further look at this 7th race from MNR.

Enjoy!

Jim
P.S. Anyone having any questions, comments or even the next winning number for the next $400 million Powerball Lottery that you get from your psychic hotline, I am sure would be most appreciated if you post them here on the forum! LOL

[Bill V.]

Thanks for the video I will take a look
While I look at it, please look at this video.
This is in reference to our conversation in the thread
http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=9321

I see were you bet the 5 in the 6th race at MNR
This video is in my reply and supports that,When you follow a consistent set of guidelines,
It doesn't matter if you do the race before it runs or after it runs, you will get the same result, right or wrong.
As you will see I did the race in the same manner as I did in the race 7 video
I posted in this thread
http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=9329
I hope you and others enjoy the video
show to Jim.mp4