Injured Horse?

[Segwin]

Would it be safe to say that this horse is injured (or something negative)?

[dirty moose]

Been claimed 3 times and been bounced around. Could be anything.
Four different track and a Parx makes a 5th different. Horse could be tired. Could be hurt.

[Segwin]

Hi DM,

It is safe to say that there is something wrong correct? His form has really taken a nose dive.

[Bill V.]

Hi Terry

Everything depends on the match up of the true contenders but I think this horse is off form. Its now running for 1/2 it claiming price.

It has no form after 2 plus recent pace lines,
The class of today's race is a $5000 claimer.
Its last pace line was a $5000 claimer at MTH.
Based on what we know about the RC from Trackmaster
This looks like a harder race 92 to 83

This is just a rough guide I don't depend too much on these numbers
but they are a tool.

In my 2013 Parx database for $5000 claimers - They run very few $5000 claimers.
So I combined the open and NW1 -6MX conditions. T

To further add this also includes both Male and Female horses for a total of only 30 races.

I expect about a 23.3 46.8 and 112.6 pace of race.
I see nothing in its last few races to support an improvement
tomorrow. So I would not consider this horse a win contender

To me this horse needs something like a rest or vet
We shall see. The fact that J.Bisono is on it says they are desperate
as JB is a top rider at Parx (again just a tool).

[DontSayDont]

Line 10, the horse ran in a AL27 N3-L. Since that race it has won 2 times. How did it qualify for a C10 N3-L on 22 Sept. at Mth (Line 2)? It shows 4 wins lifetime.

[Bill V.]

Hi

When Toni ran in the Allowance race at CT on March 30 race 7 it had 2 wins

It won its third life time race on June 15th at Delaware
It was a Open $7.500 Claimer ( line 7 )

This race is the key because ...

When It won at Mth on August 9 ( line 4 ) it was its 4th win

Here are the conditions for the Sept 22 CL 10 N3-L race ( line 2 )

The conditions say "Races for under $8000 NOT considered in allowances"




So the win at Delaware was for $7500 and therefore it lets Toni run
in the race with 3 life time wins. Its possible that Toni won its maiden or second win for less then $8000.

Bill

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