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Old 01-07-2017, 10:56 AM   #21
Bill V.
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Thank You

Mr. Pagine
Yes The BC seems so far away, but with racing, the year goes so fast.
First stops are the triple crown preps, Then my annual trip to Santa Anita for the SA Derby.
Then the big 3 races Kentucky, Pimlico and NYC Belmont
The wild ride up to Woodbine for the Queens plate
Then we move to Monmouth, I have to do a bunch of races from the Jersey shore for Brooks, Maybe to Saratoga this time
Then of course get ready to head to Parx for the Penn Derby
and then look before we know it its birthday time and the Breeders Cup in my backyard right here at Del Mar

Yea 2017 !!!!
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Old 01-07-2017, 11:06 AM   #22
Bill V.
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Thank you Richie, Tim and Bob

I don't usually play the pick 3 Its been only pick 4's
I got to Del Mar Just as race 1 was going off and I saw the track was muddy
I just rolled into town, My buddy told me its been raining for days.

That explains the LP bias It never rains in Socal, yes it does and when it does SA gets Late.

I watched race 1 and 2 again favor my LP horses - and or TPR
So since race 2 is the start of the pick 4 I could only do race 3, 4, 5,

The 4 in race 5 was 2/5 so I was happy to win that race and get a nice payer

Bill
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Old 01-09-2017, 02:39 PM   #23
Tim Y
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Odd, as long as I have been recording biases, RAIN creates the earliest of early biases.

This baloney about the pace horse selectively tiring has NO biases in fact as ALL the horses are running over that same surface and it any tiring is the result, they are ALL subject to it.
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Old 01-09-2017, 03:37 PM   #24
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I believe that what happens when a track is sly and then proceeds to dry out going to mdy and then good is different at each track. I don't believe that one can make a blanket statement on what running style will prevail. In my humble opinion one must know their tracks and maintain records.
Tim G
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Old 01-10-2017, 07:21 AM   #25
dlivery
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Parx ruled

Excellant racing
Will see later action To-day
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Last edited by dlivery; 01-10-2017 at 07:22 AM. Reason: spelling
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Old 01-10-2017, 02:33 PM   #26
Bill V.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lt1 View Post
I believe that what happens when a track is sly and then proceeds to dry out going to mdy and then good is different at each track. I don't believe that one can make a blanket statement on what running style will prevail. In my humble opinion one must know their tracks and maintain records.
Tim G
Thumbs up, Drainage and composition and freezing are not the same across the board
SA was once again fast on Sunday and Early positional dominated, The races also were extremely formful.The three lowest morning line horses won 7 of the 9 races
The lowest morning line horse won 5 times the 2nd lowest 1 time the 3rd lowest 1time
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Old 01-10-2017, 02:40 PM   #27
Bill V.
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Most recent SA Model - Profile 20 races

Last 20 races SA

Name:  Cleanup2.JPG
Views: 671
Size:  70.5 KB

Last edited by Bill V.; 01-10-2017 at 02:45 PM. Reason: cleaner screen shot
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Old 01-10-2017, 03:25 PM   #28
sureshotlink
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill V. View Post
Last 20 races SA

Attachment 42010


Hey Bill,

Is your profile a mix of sprint and route races ?

Thank you,

Paul link
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Old 01-10-2017, 04:28 PM   #29
Bill V.
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Last

Hey Paul
The last 20 races, So that would be 9 races Sunday, 9 Saturday and final 2 races
Friday ,

I have a master model - profile spreadsheet which is every race everyday.
Once I enter the race on the master, I then copy and paste to specialized spreadsheets which are broken down to distance , surface and maiden/non maiden. Eventually I can break it down to sex, age, once I have a big enough sample of a race type .

What I am showing here is from the master spreadsheet , and the most recent 20 races
All .

Bill
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Old 01-10-2017, 04:33 PM   #30
Bill V.
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Should

I guess I should of captured the race date info on the screen shot!

The last row (bottom) is the most recent race So here that would be race 9 from Sunday
And the top row would be race 7 from Friday

Bill
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