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| Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems |
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#1 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 11,457
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Late P3 Hit TDN R6-8 6-15
Racked up the late p3. My picks
12:21 PM TDN 6-15 TRK FAST R14-7-6-1 R2 1-7-4-3 R2 2-6-1-3 R4 2-4-6-7 LS1 LS3 R5 7-5-1=3 LS2 R6 4-5-7-3 LS2 LS7 R7 2-6-8-3 R8 5-1-7-3 GOOD LUCK Tim The winning ticket Jun 15 2:48:30 PM Complete Thistledown 6 Pick 3 $1.00 4.5.7/2.6.8/1/5/7 $27.00 $92.90 $68.90 The winning combo 4[4.00],8[$11.40].7[$8.40] Screen Shots The r6 winner tiers 3 bl/bl &1RX, the r7 winner tiers 6thBL/BL & 3rd RX. Now here is the reason you must not blindly accept Tier rankings. By doing some analysis this is how I was able to get the 8 into a betable position on the bl ;bl screen I demote the following horses, #6 way too high %med,#9 running line defect and failed in its' last 2 races,#7running line & str loss defects,#3 too high a %med to win. This left me #2 &8 on the bl screen. I kept the 6 since it had the least defects and tiered high on both screens. Record keeping pays off. R9 screen shots to follow.
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Trust but verify |
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#2 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Maple Ridge, B.C. Canada
Posts: 3,627
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That is truly an excellent breakdown in here Tim.
Thanks for all your efforts to show us it takes a litte digging to find gold in a PILE OF ROCKS. Congrats on another fine day using the best betting plays available when they show up. Darryl |
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#3 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,872
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Very nice P3 and much more difficult than a win bet or DD. Great handicapping.
Mitch44 |
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#4 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 11,457
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Thanks Darryl and Mitch. The race 7 is one that everyone should review. I t was a great example of not blindly accepting tier levels by doing some digging into the readouts. No excuse for being lazy and then moaning that the program didn't get it.
Tim
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