Two Prime Examples

[shoeless]

I have to make a retraction the difference between a 5000n1y and 7500n1y is not a huge difference but it's still a step up especially if the horse hasnt won for 5000n1y.A much bigger difference would be a horse going from 5000 n1y to a 5000 open race.This might seem confusing but is well explained in Davidowitz's book Betting Thoroughbreds.

Another book which is very good is Bob Heyburn's Fast and Fit Horses.Im surprised it's not talked about more here especially since Doc recommended this book in one of the seminar tapes.

[tom]

Bill V, great point.

I see lots of FL horses who are world-beaters at 5.5 and the ambulance is blowing the horn at them at 6.0.

More often, I see major performance differences between 6 and 7 furlongs.

[Ted Craven]

Bill, thanks for that fine tuning. Good points for sure.

Jeff, thanks as well! Bob Heyburn's book Fast and Fit Horses is surely an underrated book, and I devoured it long before I heard of Doc Sartin. It's right here on my bookshelf.

Ted

[alydar_ David]

Originally Posted by tom

Bill V, great point.

I see lots of FL horses who are world-beaters at 5.5 and the ambulance is blowing the horn at them at 6.0.

More often, I see major performance differences between 6 and 7 furlongs.

Good points. And speaking of 7f here's a tip. Horses cutting back from 8.5f to 7f seem to do better than they should. In other words they win more than their fair share of races. I don't know if this is true and I have absolutely nothing to back it up. Chalk it up to a seat-of-the-pants observation which may or may not be valid.