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Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) Interactive Teaching & Learning - Race Conditions, Contenders, Pacelines, Advanced Concepts, Betting ...

 
 
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Old 07-11-2021, 10:22 PM   #6
Mitch44
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,872
% Med has nothing to do with form and I have never herd that before, that is "I read one suggestion that % Med up and TE down suggested going off form." I would disregard such advice as its not factual.

Lower TE or % Med could mean a short horse after a layoff or a horse that just got into trouble or could also mean a change in running style etc.

In simplistic terms % Med is how a horse runs and distributes its TE. Speed horses and E or EP tend to run faster early and tend to be sprinters whereas P,SP and S tend to run later in the race and be routers. In some turf races they just run slow early and fast late or L. That's not to say a E or EP can't win a route race. I.e. if their all early than an E will win. Some turf tracks favor speed such as SA whereas Sar if it rains it can be slow or heavy.

The ESP of a race or the Match Up has a great influence on a race.% Med is a great help in determining if a horse can stretch out or take to the turf.

The very best place to read about % Med is in Tom Brohamers book Modern Pace Handicapping, where he describes it in great detail. Within RDSS % Med is used to determine the ESP by the computer driven formula. Actually the formula is no secret but computers gives consistency of application and is not prone to mistakes like hand application is.This is the one I recommend as its more accurate than the visual ESP or RS ESP in the program. Players frequently believe just because a horse went wire to wire in victory that its an E horse. Most time this isn't true as it slows down on the lead and nothing in the race can challenge it.

One should also choose a pace line that conforms to its normal running style as determined by % Med.

Mitch44

Last edited by Mitch44; 07-11-2021 at 10:26 PM.
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