SAR 7/29 Race 5

[Ted Craven]

Hypnotist asked my opinion of this race. Here it is:

Too many Early horses. The #8 could be a 'fast sprinter' (which often beat 'slow routers') but she's only ever had the 1 race, an open lead, and we don't know how she faces pressure or how fast she can go and have gas left for a further 2.5 furlongs today. And the #5 can best her at both early calls AND in a route, though also at open lengths. When pressured last year, it folded. In my view, toss ALL the Earlies for win, which is what the grouping in the screen shot shows.

Thus the best OTEs: 12-4-9 in BL order. The #12 had trouble in both its last 2 races but made nice closing moves in each, and against a serious fast PoR in its 2nd line (chosen).

Maybe the #8 has something special to show, and maybe the tote will tell us something (Hypnotist likes the tote, and so do I). Maybe at ML = 30-1, a nice WPS dutch catches some fire, or underneath the Exacta. But I would not invest much just yet.

Thus: Win 12-4, use the 9 in an Exacta.






Good luck! More hopefully when tote info available.

Comments welcomed ...!

Ted