Paceline Help - SAR R3 08/24/15 - Pace and Cap

Jeebs · 08-24-2015, 08:02 PM

I thought that this was a neat little race to dive into. I don't have screenshots, but will be as descriptive as possible.

1: TWO TAPS - I went with Line 2, as Line 1 was a one mile one turn Belmont route with a "stumbled start". Line 2 indicates that the horse is a fighter, ahead by a head at all calls and then drawing off at the finish. If this horse gets a good start, she should be on the lead.

2: CALLISTA - Came within a length of winning last out in Line 1, and Line 2's maiden win from the clouds verifies this. Based on beaten lengths at the finish, this Line 1 is a + race for me, and is the line to use.

3: TITANIUM - Line 1 was a no-excuse 0 race. Line 2 is in $25K starter company at CD, which is a bottom class level compared to today. Line 2 did nothing to validate Line 1, so the #3 was tossed out.

4: FULL OF SUGAR - Shows several up close efforts in one and two-turn routes downstate, however was a non-factor in a 6.5f sprint back in November after being near the pace. No usable line, and is a toss out.

5: REGENT'S HOUSE - Line 1 is the line, as it is a + effort through the stretch call (finished 5th in what appears to be a blanket finish). Has enough early power to possibly challenge/fight the #1.

6: PARIS BIKINI - No line. I can't use Line 4 (maiden debut win last year), and the other lines indicate nothing useful suggesting contention. Out it goes.

On the read outs, CALLISTA comes out as top LS horse.

On the track, CALLISTA ran as advertised, barely beating BIKINI. TWO TAPS never fired from the gate, and was done at that moment in time (never has won OTE), REGENT HOUSE seemed to show herd tendencies, dropping back late after being uncontested for the 1st call. FULL OF SUGAR ran close, but ran evenly not passing horses.

I feel my line selection was sound here. TWO TAPS was my bet as the price was better than the late charging CALLISTA. I feel that I made the right call even though I wagered wrong.

Thoughts?

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08-24-2015, 08:02 PM	#1
Jeebs Grade 1 Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 909	Paceline Help - SAR R3 08/24/15 I thought that this was a neat little race to dive into. I don't have screenshots, but will be as descriptive as possible. 1: TWO TAPS - I went with Line 2, as Line 1 was a one mile one turn Belmont route with a "stumbled start". Line 2 indicates that the horse is a fighter, ahead by a head at all calls and then drawing off at the finish. If this horse gets a good start, she should be on the lead. 2: CALLISTA - Came within a length of winning last out in Line 1, and Line 2's maiden win from the clouds verifies this. Based on beaten lengths at the finish, this Line 1 is a + race for me, and is the line to use. 3: TITANIUM - Line 1 was a no-excuse 0 race. Line 2 is in $25K starter company at CD, which is a bottom class level compared to today. Line 2 did nothing to validate Line 1, so the #3 was tossed out. 4: FULL OF SUGAR - Shows several up close efforts in one and two-turn routes downstate, however was a non-factor in a 6.5f sprint back in November after being near the pace. No usable line, and is a toss out. 5: REGENT'S HOUSE - Line 1 is the line, as it is a + effort through the stretch call (finished 5th in what appears to be a blanket finish). Has enough early power to possibly challenge/fight the #1. 6: PARIS BIKINI - No line. I can't use Line 4 (maiden debut win last year), and the other lines indicate nothing useful suggesting contention. Out it goes. On the read outs, CALLISTA comes out as top LS horse. On the track, CALLISTA ran as advertised, barely beating BIKINI. TWO TAPS never fired from the gate, and was done at that moment in time (never has won OTE), REGENT HOUSE seemed to show herd tendencies, dropping back late after being uncontested for the 1st call. FULL OF SUGAR ran close, but ran evenly not passing horses. I feel my line selection was sound here. TWO TAPS was my bet as the price was better than the late charging CALLISTA. I feel that I made the right call even though I wagered wrong. Thoughts?