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Old 04-07-2016, 02:50 AM   #1
Latekick
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Jun 2013
Posts: 389
The most important thing in my handicapping

Being 20 years old, one would imagine i have a pretty busy schedule, which i do, however over 8 years of sickening dedication to this game and coming up on 4 years of intense study of the Sartin method and developing my own way of using RDSS, i have learned how to manage my time and still get in the needed hours every day to stay sharp, and prepare myself for my next score. I hope this post does not get to long, but if it does, i feel as though it will be worth the read for those that take the time to read it. I feel as though what i am about to say is the most important aspect of my handicapping, and also take you through how this has payed off for me just a few days into April. Ive hit 2 pick 4's and one pick 5 in these few days of April, and i feel as though I'm on the verge of a big month. Hard work pays off fellas, if you dedicate your time to learning yourself and constantly and consistently working on your game, good things happen.

Let me start here,
What i believe to be the most important part of my handicapping and what has helped me to become so successful this past year, but mainly the last 6 months, has been a strict and consistent REVIEW of my selections and my top 4 contenders in each race. I am not telling a lie when i say that at least 80% of the hours i spend dedicated to my handicapping, is done reviewing past races. Before i sit down to do a card, i will thoroughly go through any card i have done in the past 3 days. This gets my mind ready to start the new card and helps me to pinpoint any mistakes i may have made. Every horse that goes into my top 4 is there for a reason. I have spend countless hours reviewing and analyzing myself, which has helped me to literally get the winner in my top 3 in almost every race i play. When the winner isn't in my top 3, its in my top 4-5, and after reviewing myself and what works for me i have found a way to pinpoint when they will be lower and when i need to dig. As i said this month is off to a great start. Ill start with my first hit which was the pick 5 at Santa Anita.

Let me add quickly, all of these cards, screenshots, and BLBL screens ARE ORIGINAL AND HAVE NOT BEEN touched, they are original. I think it is important to do this, so for review you can see what you had and be honest with yourself. After seeing what you did wrong, you should go back and re-handicapp the whole race line by line and figure out whatever it is you need to do to get that winner, then write down what you did. After a while ( almost 7 months for me, but probably not as long for some others) you will master yourself and see exactly what it is you do wrong, and also right. Now you understand yourself and can play confidently. So, as i said all of these readouts are original.
Let me also add, i am not a big pick 4 pick 5 player. I only bet about 5 a month, and are usually in the range of $12 to $32. IM ON A BUDGET ALRIGHT! Because of this i be sure to pick my spots.
Ive cashed on my first two pick 4s and only pick 5 so far this month and i want to show you how effective review is, and also how i review myself. Now, these payouts are not astronomical by any means, but they are consistent and are the bread and butter pick 4s and 5s that are hittable consistently which is what i like.
So here goes.

April 1st. New month, new spreadsheets, new records, Same passion, same approach.
Santa Anita pick 5 play:
1,5
1,7
4
1,3
4,5,6
$12

I have developed my own way of interpreting every race. I see it as elimination handicapping. Heres how the sequence went.
I will post each race separately. Heres race 1:

#1: The way i saw it and have it written down in my notes ( this is all coming from my notes by the way) is i saw a big maiden win, followed by a misplaced horse in a Starter race. FOR ME, remember this is my own handicapping and line selection, i have fund that FOR ME if i am using a line that 2 back or 3 back that is beneath todays class level, the horse MUST RUN against equal or better class as todays race. This horse fits, i used the line two back, which was a maiden line but it was a good win that the horse pulled away and gained in the stretch, positive for me. Obviously, ranked #1 on BLBL and what i just mentioned above, he goes on my ticket.

#5: Here is a race that i learned something, learn something from every race id advise. STICK WITH MY GUT AND RECORDS. I chose this horse basically because i was so against the ML Fav who was the #6. I wanted no part of the #6 and i wanted to make sure i had every logical horse that could beat him, which came down to only two. This horse scared me, and i put him on here to cover myself, i was scared. In my notes i have, "I don't have to use this horse but Im scared right now so i will". What i just preached in the last horse, about not using a horse taking steps up in class unless faced equal or better in subsequent starts, or has impressive win at lower class. I went against that here, because i was scared. The 5 was coming off of a 2nd place effort in a 12,500 NW2L race, but had made up good ground and was ranked 2nd in BLBL, so i was scared and i used him.

The #6 was ranked 3rd but as i said i was very against him because he was obviously a horse going downhill, and going down fast. After eliminating him that left me with the #4, who was still a Maiden. No thanks. Toss. Selections #1 and #5.
Results at the bottom


On to the next leg, race 2.
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