Redboarding - Pace and Cap

rdiam · 09-08-2019, 07:50 PM

A reasonable rule of thumb when deciding on win contenders is to limit the number according to the formula: # runners divided by 2. That is, in a race with 6 runners, no more than 3 win contenders. In a race with 8 runners, no more than 4 win contenders, etc. Over the years, Sartin went from 5 to 4 win contenders per race, and Bradshaw then narrowed it to 3 via his matchup. If you end up with more than the formula dictates, you should probably not make a win bet in that race since either you or your software does not understand it.

Also, there is nothing wrong with finding win contenders, and then creating a separate list of in-the-money contenders who are unlikely to win. For those using RDSS, the software is designed for such delineation.

Richard

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09-08-2019, 07:50 PM	#11
rdiam Grade 1 Join Date: Sep 2016 Posts: 607	A reasonable rule of thumb when deciding on win contenders is to limit the number according to the formula: # runners divided by 2. That is, in a race with 6 runners, no more than 3 win contenders. In a race with 8 runners, no more than 4 win contenders, etc. Over the years, Sartin went from 5 to 4 win contenders per race, and Bradshaw then narrowed it to 3 via his matchup. If you end up with more than the formula dictates, you should probably not make a win bet in that race since either you or your software does not understand it. Also, there is nothing wrong with finding win contenders, and then creating a separate list of in-the-money contenders who are unlikely to win. For those using RDSS, the software is designed for such delineation. Richard