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Old 06-13-2020, 10:58 AM   #1
mnl97
Broke Down
 
Join Date: May 2019
Location: Northeast Texas
Posts: 38
First 20 race cycle

Below is my first recorded 20 race cycle. All races are on dirt from Churchill Downs. I bet $3 on my primary choice and $2 on my second choice and recorded BL/BL and VDC. I almost always bet against low odds favorite. I started with the RDSS selected pacelines and changed them if I needed to go past 3 lines to get best comparable distance, surface and track conditions. I referred to Preceptor on all line selections

I bet a total of $100, $5 per race. The return was $155.40 for a gain of $55.40. I won 7 out of 20 races or 35%. This is much, much better than I have done in the past. It may be an anomaly.

The biggest take away for me is that if I had bet $3 on every VDC=1 horse and $2 on every VDC=2, the return would have been $235.70 for a profit of $135.70. This would increase the winners to 14 of 20 races bet.

This confirms the power of VDC. On the next 20 race cycle I plan to bet based on VDC. If low odds favorite is VDC=1, I'll pass the race. Otherwise I'll bet $3 on VDC=1 horse and $2 on VDC=2. I'll stay with dirt races at CD if possible.

The results seem to be too good to be true. I hope it is repeatable.

I would appreciate any observations, improvements,constructive criticism, etc. you might have. This is a wonderful program and a great group of teachers. Thanks to all of you that have help me.
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