SAR4 July4th Interesting Race

[kahunab]

When we first enter the race we observe on the Entries screen several important things. First, we have two foreign horses the 6 and the 8. The 6 has no American lines but it is #3 rated PL horse and #1 rated New Pace late horse, he is 3rd in the Morning Line, however he is a bit of a layoff horse with the worst Workout Rating of all the horses. The 8 horse has American lines and can be rated off of them. The 1 horse is a first time starter with OK work out ratings, 20 to 1 in the ML and no PL rating. (His PL number was 50). I made him a non-contender.

When we look at his, the 6's, Past performances, we note that he has raced at 97 and 96 racing class and done well. Today is a racing class of 94. He has good Class Rank to go along with a good PL (important in Maiden races) and a good morning line. We note all his positives and make him a Secondary contender just so we get a cleaner picture of the other horses. He is definitely in consideration for a companion horse.

We look at the Leverage/Pace screen and identify the top 5 RX3 horses as our primary contenders. We note 3 blue arrow horses, 9,8,2. The 9 is a Lay Off horse, 257 days, but is the #1 ranked horse in TE, BLBL, RMath Score, RX3, L/P, LPR, and TPR. A very strong looking horse. The 8 is #4 total energy, #3 BLBL, #2 RMath Score, #2 L/P, #2 LPR. The 2 is a Layoff horse, 153 days, #2 in TE, #2 BLBL, #5 RX3, #3 L/P and #3 LPR,EPR,TPR. They all have scores to recommend them. We note also that we have 21 early speed points hinting at a Late race. Our candidates for Key are the top 3 LPR horses.

We move to the New Pace screen and note that the 6, 8 and 9 are the top rated Late horses in a late race. The 5 looks to be the earliest horse but with 54% accumulation under great pressure from the 3 and the 7 and possibly the 2. The 8 is rated better than the 9 or the 2. The 6 must certainly be considered as a Companion horse.

The Segments screen confirms what NP told us. 8 and 9 are the best late. The 3, 5, and 7 will compete in F1 and SC. The 2 may add to the pressure. I chose to make the 8 my key horse because of the better New Pace rating and "recency" over the 9 and the 2. So I keyed the 8 with the 7,9,2,6. I dropped the 5 for the 6 because he was Early in a Late race and I did not think he could hold on.