Go Back   Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up > Races of Interest
Get RDSS
Google Site Search Get RDSS Sartin Library RDSS FAQs Conduct Register Site FAQ Members List Today's Posts

Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems

 
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
Old 04-24-2026, 04:50 PM   #1
AwesomeAgain
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Jul 2016
Location: West Melbourne, Florida
Posts: 258
Keeneland Race 4 Wed 4/22/26

I am going to attempt to explain how I use Prime Power and Profit Line in conjunction with Newpace. Once I finally understood what the numbers were telling me Newpace became quite easy for me. First screenshot is the Newpace screen. Visual pace bias is telling us its going to run late. Notice at the bottom POR is 87 here, which means the race is under severe pressure and set up to favor late runners over early speed.
Prime Power ranks horses on raw ability like speed, class, and form, but it assumes the race unfolds cleanly, which makes it vulnerable in this kind of meltdown setup. Profit Line tries to project how the race actually finishes, so it holds up better when pressure disrupts the expected flow. As pace pressure increases, Prime Power tends to overvalue early dominance while Profit Line becomes more reliable in pointing toward horses that can survive the collapse.
NewPace POR is what ties it all together, because it tells you when to trust structure and when to shift toward outcome and survival. The 2nd screenshot is the Rx screen with top 5 profit line horses ranked. The 5 went off as the post time favorite and I dutch win bet the 6 and 1. The 6 wins at 9-1, the 1 places the 5 horse shows and the 8 rounds out the superfecta. Name:  Screenshot 2026-04-24 140031.jpg
Views: 74
Size:  111.9 KB
Attached Images
 
AwesomeAgain is offline   Reply With Quote
 


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2026, vBulletin Solutions Inc.

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 01:39 AM.