Speculator Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) - Pace and Cap

mufasa · 05-14-2007, 08:56 AM

Richie:

In responding to Turbulator (post #30) and while reviewing your RDSS screen shot of the horse in question (Starlet Sky) I have come across a problem when using my base principles. When responding in post #30 I selected pace line #3 as the one that I would pick from among the last 3-4 lines in using Speculator 160 and insisting when I could that it must have been a good form race at similar distance and surface, and more importantly that the chosen line was against the best pace time (base principles-BP). I am OK with that if I am going to limit myself to the last 3-4 races. In reality though I consider all 10 given pace lines when selecting my preferred pace lines and on the basis of my BP’s I would have selected pace line #6 for the horse-Starlet Sky. This preferred line has a Perceptor One ranking of 4 seemingly a disadvantage in Speculator 160 computations when compared to pace lines #3 ranked 2 or even pace line #4 ranked 1. As far as I can see pace line #6 has a better raw pace call time then pace line #3 and when adjusted, normalized, and equalized it has the better pace call time then either pace lines 3 or 4. A good choice of a pace line to my way of thinking but maybe not so hot as to Spec160 computations.

I have to rethink my use of the Perceptor 1 screen since my most important qualifying rule is anchored in good form race finish against the best pace time. Perceptor 1 uses all of the 8 factors in its ranking and I am at this stage most interested in pace call times.

I have plenty of work to do in better understanding how best to use this great tool-Speculator 160 (and equally I presume RDSS). I had such a great day on Saturday (5/12/07) at Belmont but now I must revisit that card and see why my pace line selections worked so well given that pace call time is just one of 8 factors considered in the ranking.

Back to the drawing board-

RR

05-14-2007, 08:56 AM	#12
mufasa Grade 1 Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 310	Richie: In responding to Turbulator (post #30) and while reviewing your RDSS screen shot of the horse in question (Starlet Sky) I have come across a problem when using my base principles. When responding in post #30 I selected pace line #3 as the one that I would pick from among the last 3-4 lines in using Speculator 160 and insisting when I could that it must have been a good form race at similar distance and surface, and more importantly that the chosen line was against the best pace time (base principles-BP). I am OK with that if I am going to limit myself to the last 3-4 races. In reality though I consider all 10 given pace lines when selecting my preferred pace lines and on the basis of my BP’s I would have selected pace line #6 for the horse-Starlet Sky. This preferred line has a Perceptor One ranking of 4 seemingly a disadvantage in Speculator 160 computations when compared to pace lines #3 ranked 2 or even pace line #4 ranked 1. As far as I can see pace line #6 has a better raw pace call time then pace line #3 and when adjusted, normalized, and equalized it has the better pace call time then either pace lines 3 or 4. A good choice of a pace line to my way of thinking but maybe not so hot as to Spec160 computations. I have to rethink my use of the Perceptor 1 screen since my most important qualifying rule is anchored in good form race finish against the best pace time. Perceptor 1 uses all of the 8 factors in its ranking and I am at this stage most interested in pace call times. I have plenty of work to do in better understanding how best to use this great tool-Speculator 160 (and equally I presume RDSS). I had such a great day on Saturday (5/12/07) at Belmont but now I must revisit that card and see why my pace line selections worked so well given that pace call time is just one of 8 factors considered in the ranking. Back to the drawing board- RR