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Administrator
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,643
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Big win test
Here is a work up test I did
I had a feeling from somewhere that all my early horses always faded. I asked if the early pressure or lack of it made a differance and could my early horses go wire to wire My test is to find 20 wire to wire winners that opened big leads, That is over 1 BL at the first call and over 2 BL second call, What happens to the final speed rating on both the original and adjusted speed ratings ? Here is the result of my test Almost always The big win easy lead race is a once in the past performance history of the horse. The speed ratings is almost always the highest one it shows in its history, It was only 20 races but I saw many horses that this race messed them up They never were the same after Many don't even get a lead at all after the race. and they slow down in there speed ratings Here is the work up Big openings -Races were winner had a +1 lead at the first call and a +3 BL win at the 2nd call and went wire to wire Code:
#1 +3 Normal 93 orginal Highest ever 91 adjusted
#2 +4 Highest ever 61 0rg Highest 75 on Ajusted
#3 +3 Highest ever 73 speed rating original Normal 76 adjusted
#4 +2 Highest ever 81 on both screens
#5 +1.5 Highest ever 81 on both screens
#6 +3 Highest ever 83 on Org. 85 on Adj.
#7 +2 Hihest ever 91 on Org. 79 on Adj
#8 +3 Not highest ever 63 but has not raced near that in the last 7 races
since then 38,55,0,39,0,42,26 speed ratings
#9 +6 Not highest 99 on Org but Highest 86 on Adj.
#10. +3.5 Highest ever 95 Org Slowed way down to below normal 75 on Adj
#11 +3 Normal 88 on Orig Normal 85 on Adj,
#12 +5 had a 106 earlier. In this race had a 101 but again since than
speed ratings 90,98,90,98,79
#13 +2 Highest ever 72 on Org. Very normal 66 on adj
#14 +4 highest ever 68 org, 77 adj.
#15. +2 Normal 49 original and 58 Adjusted
#16 +6 High 90 org. Norm 81 Just held on. This horse also lost a 10 BL lead
#17 +5 High 89 org. Highest ever 83 on adjusted
#18 +2.5 2nd Best 85 org Normal 77 adjusted
#19 +2.5 Normal 74 org Highest 81 Adjusted
#20. +9 Highest 82 org. and 2nd highst 82 Adj.
Last edited by admin; 08-18-2007 at 10:14 AM. |
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