Detailed Recordkeeping / Perfect Example of Why We Need to do this - Pace and Cap

RichieP · 03-20-2006, 11:39 AM

I am currently testing a spot play method in the selections area called "Soccer Guy". This test will run for 7 CONSECUTIVE days and will end with the conclusion of racing this Wednesday.

Anyone interested in the title of this thread please go back to the opening "Soccer Guy" thread and LOOK at my STATED feeling that making win bets at 5/1 and up on the horses was what I would be looking for if I could get the method working profitably. That is what I ASSUMED would be the profit area. ok

If you care to fast forward to yesterday's conclusion and 4 day cumulative totals.Of the four WIN betting categories my INITIAL assumption category is ranked WORST by quite a bit compared to the other 3 when looking at ROI.

While all four categories are extremely profitable right now I would say that

24% compared to 55% - 80% - 99% is noticably NOT the best category.

Detailed RECORDS do not lie. Self thought OPINIONS can and do deceive every horseplayer including ME.

Want another example relating to the Kentucky Derby?

Doc's contender guidelines for the Derby Contenders have had the winner in its final 5 horses like 18 out of the last 19 years ok? Nothing on the PLANET even can come close to approaching it. Yet people that would KNOW this as fact if they actually kept track of what is going on constantly are entering horses based on hype and this and that.

While it's great to sit around and hear everyone "wax poetic"

about his or her "Sleeper" Derby horse year in and year out the FACT is that if the horse did NOT finish 1st or 2nd in a grade 1 or grade 2 prep race the horse is OUT of consideration.

Detailed recordkeeping can help ALL of us get better.

Richie

03-20-2006, 11:39 AM	#1
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	Detailed Recordkeeping / Perfect Example of Why We Need to do this I am currently testing a spot play method in the selections area called "Soccer Guy". This test will run for 7 CONSECUTIVE days and will end with the conclusion of racing this Wednesday. Anyone interested in the title of this thread please go back to the opening "Soccer Guy" thread and LOOK at my STATED feeling that making win bets at 5/1 and up on the horses was what I would be looking for if I could get the method working profitably. That is what I ASSUMED would be the profit area. ok If you care to fast forward to yesterday's conclusion and 4 day cumulative totals.Of the four WIN betting categories my INITIAL assumption category is ranked WORST by quite a bit compared to the other 3 when looking at ROI. While all four categories are extremely profitable right now I would say that 24% compared to 55% - 80% - 99% is noticably NOT the best category. Detailed RECORDS do not lie. Self thought OPINIONS can and do deceive every horseplayer including ME. Want another example relating to the Kentucky Derby? Doc's contender guidelines for the Derby Contenders have had the winner in its final 5 horses like 18 out of the last 19 years ok? Nothing on the PLANET even can come close to approaching it. Yet people that would KNOW this as fact if they actually kept track of what is going on constantly are entering horses based on hype and this and that. While it's great to sit around and hear everyone "wax poetic" about his or her "Sleeper" Derby horse year in and year out the FACT is that if the horse did NOT finish 1st or 2nd in a grade 1 or grade 2 prep race the horse is OUT of consideration. Detailed recordkeeping can help ALL of us get better. Richie