projecting pace - Pace and Cap

mikesal57 · 12-16-2009, 08:27 AM

To me projecting the pace is the most important factor in handicapping
It can eliminate almost as much as 75% of the field in some cases

Going back on past post in the Hat Check forum, I've come to this and similar posts by The Hat and Richie were they project the pace of race.
Just like in his books , this race has me baffled on why and how he chooses the pace and from what lines in the PP's he uses. Its not from the same track as today..its not from the same distance as today ..and its not from the same horses as todays...its not from the last line..times are from different horses

Just think about this...even using software..you have a 10 horse field...u have 9 horses that have current pacelines that can be used based on your criterias, best of last 3 -in the money finishes-etc, we all know that entering that many horses will cause problems...wouldnt it be nice to dwindle these down to that goal of 3-4-5 horses?

Can u explain why?

thxs

mike

race #6 from Belmont

http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=1567

12-16-2009, 08:27 AM	#1
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	projecting pace To me projecting the pace is the most important factor in handicapping It can eliminate almost as much as 75% of the field in some cases Going back on past post in the Hat Check forum, I've come to this and similar posts by The Hat and Richie were they project the pace of race. Just like in his books , this race has me baffled on why and how he chooses the pace and from what lines in the PP's he uses. Its not from the same track as today..its not from the same distance as today ..and its not from the same horses as todays...its not from the last line..times are from different horses Just think about this...even using software..you have a 10 horse field...u have 9 horses that have current pacelines that can be used based on your criterias, best of last 3 -in the money finishes-etc, we all know that entering that many horses will cause problems...wouldnt it be nice to dwindle these down to that goal of 3-4-5 horses? Can u explain why? thxs mike race #6 from Belmont http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=1567 __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack Last edited by mikesal57; 12-16-2009 at 08:39 AM.

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