Matching for PROFIT - The "Mind's Eye" and WINNING pattern recognition

[RichieP]

I received this PM yesterday from a dedicated "matcher" here and it made me very happy! It shows the potential power of Hat's teachings when it is applied in a spot play environment with PATIENCE and PATTERN RECOGNITION as it's "keys".

Also a big thank you to the writer who gave me permission to repost his note in its entirety including some gems for the pps he has noticed on a recurring basis

A 35% win pct over a month of SPOT PLAYS with an ROI approaching 75% is pretty darn good stuff I would say!

First the PM from yesterday:
Thanks Rich!
Hi Rich-

I wanted to follow-up with you regarding the advice you gave me about a month ago. I took your advice and committed to reviewing a few races I’ve won each time before matching new races.

I discovered that there were a few patterns that kept repeating. This leads me to believe that if I focus on these patterns only for spot plays then my win percentage and profit will improve. For me, they fell into these categories…


1) FPLR – In one of two categories….
With an early horse that either won or finished very close
OR
With an early horse that fought and faded.

In either case the last line crushes the opposition.

2) An early horse coming off a WTW win or close finish AND…..
A power line deeper in the PP’s that shows an OTE win/close finish (preferably versus a faster pace than the last race)
OR
A power line deeper in the PP’s that shows another early win/close finish versus a faster pace than the last race.

3) Sprint to route…
A horse that closes ground and has a 6 furlong sprint time 3-5 lengths faster than the 6 furlong times of the routers.


I find a recent example of each type to prime myself with before the new matching session. The result for the month was very positive. I made about half as many plays than I was previously making, so your emphasis on patience is going to be a key for me. It’s not always easy. I hope that the positive results will provide motivation and focus to just bet the ones that absolutely fit one of these patterns and pass the ones that don’t.

Below is my Youbet wager log for June, which shows 5/14 wins and a nice ROI. Anyway, don’t mean to take up your time. I could write about this stuff all day! Thank you for taking the time to share your advice and guidance with me and for your continued work on the website. I look forward to the upcoming video you mentioned too.

Here’s to a winning month of July!




CRITERIA
Start Date End Date Min Bet Amt Max Bet Amt Tracks Jockeys Trainers Bet Types Distances
6/1/2010 6/30/2010 All All All Win All

ROI SUMMARY
Bets Win % ROI % Wagered Payout ProfitLoss
14 35.7142 73.57 $28.00 $48.60 $20.60

WAGER DETAILS
Date Track Race Bet Type Total Wager Amount Runner Payout
6/4/2010 Hollywood Park 1 Win 2 Runners:4 0
6/5/2010 Golden Gate Fields 4 Win 2 Runners:6 0
6/5/2010 Emerald Downs 3 Win 2 Runners:8 0
6/6/2010 Golden Gate Fields 4 Win 2 Runners:3 0
6/6/2010 Golden Gate Fields 6 Win 2 Runners:2 $9.60
6/6/2010 Hollywood Park 6 Win 2 Runners:6 0
6/10/2010 Hollywood Park 6 Win 2 Runners:1 $12.00
6/12/2010 Golden Gate Fields 8 Win 2 Runners:1 0
6/13/2010 Golden Gate Fields 5 Win 2 Runners:10 $5.80
6/20/2010 Hollywood Park 7 Win 2 Runners:1 $14.00
6/26/2010 Hollywood Park 5 Win 2 Runners:2 0
6/26/2010 Emerald Downs 3 Win 2 Runners:2 $7.20
6/27/2010 Hollywood Park 6 Win 2 Runners:7 0
6/27/2010 Hollywood Park 8 Win 2 Runners:7 0
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Now here is the note he speaks of that I sent him a bit more than a month ago privately. It is the EXACT process Hat had me follow when I wanted to match races for PROFIT:

I am going to make a video VERY shortly and when it is finished I know it will help folks like yourself who are really sincere in learning.

Go back and find 3-4 races that you have WON. Look at them each day before you are gonna go cap the races live ok? Reinforce the positive vibes/experiences of those winning races. THEN go to the live races and look/wait for the PATTERNS of the winning races you looked at before to show themselves to you TODAY! Wait and be PATIENT, bet only those "feel good" races if you are in this for profit.

That is EXACTLY what Jim had me do. Now it is passed on to you!
Good matching!