GR 1 "Test" at the Spa - Pace and Cap

BJennet · 08-07-2010, 04:17 PM

Re the Test, I like the #1 to win, but not at the odds, and will play it over the #7, and play the latter to win at over 8-1.

FWIW, my own experience using the Methodology in stakes races, is that pace numbers are much less predictive here, than at lower class levels. Gr.I and II horses routinely crush horses with better numbers coming from undgraded stakes, allowance, and even Gr. III's. With rare exceptions, unless one uses horses with lines from graded stakes, the figures are unreliable. However APV, which I guess is now class/consistency, tends to be highly predictive, at least in my experience.

Best of luck to all.

Cheers,

B Jennet

08-07-2010, 04:17 PM	#9
BJennet Grade 1 Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 311	The Test/Stakes races Re the Test, I like the #1 to win, but not at the odds, and will play it over the #7, and play the latter to win at over 8-1. FWIW, my own experience using the Methodology in stakes races, is that pace numbers are much less predictive here, than at lower class levels. Gr.I and II horses routinely crush horses with better numbers coming from undgraded stakes, allowance, and even Gr. III's. With rare exceptions, unless one uses horses with lines from graded stakes, the figures are unreliable. However APV, which I guess is now class/consistency, tends to be highly predictive, at least in my experience. Best of luck to all. Cheers, B Jennet