10/14 Penn 6th

[PeteC]

Here is a race tonight that I thought was interesting. It’s the 6th at Penn National going 5 ½ furlongs on the main track. What caught my eye is the fact that most of the runners are either need-to-lead types or have only run their best when 1st or 2nd at the 1st call. The only exceptions I found were #3 and #8.

I projected the pace off of #4’s last race (22.0 45.0).

I see that #3 did well against the projected 1st call in its last two races, however the 2nd calls were much slower than today’s pace. #8 won its last race versus a 22.1 and 45.3, a little faster 2nd call than #3, but still 3 ticks off of today’s pace. Also, #8 won from 3rd position at the first call and will probably have to fight to get to third at the first call today or will have to win from further back positionally.

So, this is where I’m stuck on this race. Did anyone else have a look?


Pete