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Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) Interactive Teaching & Learning - Race Conditions, Contenders, Pacelines, Advanced Concepts, Betting ...

 
 
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Old 04-07-2013, 11:38 AM   #1
Bill V.
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Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
Last race winners Problem race

Yesterday was the big day with 2 of the major derby prep races , the Wood
and the Santa Anita, It was fun seeing
Keeneland and I even saw some turf races at Pimlico.
Yet my play of the day was this horse at Parx.
Race 8 was a NW1X AL. Of the 8 horses this horse and the 2 horse
( a sprinter ) were the only horses with plus pacelines and wins against winners
The rest only had recent MS or MC wins
The 3 was my play of the day I would have been happy to get the 5/2 ML
odds. It went off at 3/1. I put a full bet on it and a small bet on the 4
horse .
I mentioned in the make money with early thread, about horses improving,
or maintaining the selected paceline ability. I felt that the 3 after the last
OC win and a 30 day freshening with a 7 day workout would be fit and ready
We will never know as the horse stumbled and the jockey feel off at the gate.
I did learn something from this race. I wonder if anybody else might find this lesson. Give the horse a look and see if you see
what I learned, nothing works 100 percent in racing but hopefully this horse
will show you something to consider when your top selection may not
run its race.

FTL knew I was going to make this play and he sent me a nice message last night
what do you think ?Do you see a possible negative ?

Bill

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Last edited by Bill V.; 04-07-2013 at 11:42 AM.
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