Belmont by the Hat's Marathon Method - Pace and Cap

Bill Lyster · 06-05-2013, 02:21 PM

Here is how I see it:

The top five are my win contenders. Over Analyze's best race was last November and the 1-4-6-8-11 are coming off allowance races or slow graded races

I think the middle 3 are too far back in a race without a lot of pace to be win contenders, but could run someone down for Pl or show.

Based on all its races I doubt that Palace Malice goes to lead again, besides he is not comfortable there. Freedom's Child gets early lead with Unlimited Budget sitting right behind with Oxbow and Palace Malice next in line; Orb trails these.

If Freedom goes unchallenged I like Freedom, Unlimited Budget and Oxbow as win candidates. Individually they have the 2nd, (5th & 7th) and 3rd best mile times respectively. If Orb runs mid pack he could be good enough, but I like Orb and Palace Malice as place horses for this race.

Good luck,

06-05-2013, 02:21 PM	#1
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,494	Belmont by the Hat's Marathon Method Here is how I see it: The top five are my win contenders. Over Analyze's best race was last November and the 1-4-6-8-11 are coming off allowance races or slow graded races I think the middle 3 are too far back in a race without a lot of pace to be win contenders, but could run someone down for Pl or show. Based on all its races I doubt that Palace Malice goes to lead again, besides he is not comfortable there. Freedom's Child gets early lead with Unlimited Budget sitting right behind with Oxbow and Palace Malice next in line; Orb trails these. If Freedom goes unchallenged I like Freedom, Unlimited Budget and Oxbow as win candidates. Individually they have the 2nd, (5th & 7th) and 3rd best mile times respectively. If Orb runs mid pack he could be good enough, but I like Orb and Palace Malice as place horses for this race. Good luck, Attached Images

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