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Old 08-20-2013, 05:37 PM   #1
Segwin
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Jul 2013
Location: Cleveland, Ohio
Posts: 624
Talking Walking On Sunshine

Many thanks to BIC Jim!

I watched your picking contenders videos again (for the third time) and wanted to have a better understanding of the fulcrum horse method.

I played the 8th race at PARX today and found the 4 horse, Special Congrats, to be my fulcrum horse. Then I went to the others to see who could keep up with the second call pace and the number 3 horse shook out as the best. As a matter of fact after looking at RDSS this way I was a bit taken aback. It was like being able to see something brand new, that no one else could see. These horses were not the favorite and the little voice kept reminding me that the favorites only win a 1/3 of the time.

I bet 4 to win, 3 to win and boxed the 4 & 4 for an Exacta. And that's they way they came in!! What a great afternoon

As always I never try to get too high and never let myself get too low in all matters. I don't depend on horse racing and it is just entertainment for me so losing (which I know all to well) doesn't sting as bad.

My last point in this is that I think I had an ideal race for this method. In looking at the number 4 horse and it's second call time for the last line he was 2nd and only behind by a head. Perhaps having the same setup but having the horse behind by 3 or 4 might make a difference - I don't know.

Anywho I'm feeling good and thanks to all for the help and to Ted for the wonderful s/w.

One last thing: After I made the bets I went up to take a shower as I don't like watching the race r/t. I started thinking that I should have run the same procedure for 3rd call to try and narrow it down more but it still turned out okay.
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