Review of Lrl race 8 1/30/16

[Bill V.]

I was asked a pace line question in a PM.
To be fair I worked the complete race first before I just emailed the poster my opinion about his pace line question.

I did not bet this race,
I don't know scratches or the track condition
I just worked the race as I normaly do using RDSS2 and phase 1. I will check the results after I post these screen shots.

The question was about distances.
I hope my work up of this race shows the emailer my way of picking pace lines
which I try to do consistently, I did not use fulcrum because I don't know how horse 6 will run extracted from 8.5 furlongs in today's 7 furlong distance.
This is a $75000 stakes race restricted to 3+F Maryland bred females

[Bill V.]

Each screen shows my notes in the sticky pad in the lower right corner of the original pace line screen.

Horse 1 2 3 and 4

[Bill V.]

Horse 5 6 7 8 and 9

[Bill V.]

Here are my pace lines





Here is my Phase I analysis



My bets before scratches.
4 and 8

[Bill V.]

Scratch # 1


Here are the results
I left some space f you want to work the race yourself first


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[Bill V.]

The winner was the 4 with 2 plus pace lines. I jut used the better line and also the match up of the phase 1 numbers
I try to stay within 1 furlong of today's distance so I checked both lines

I see the 2 ran very well off those SAR workouts

thanks
Bill

[Bill V.]

Here is the BLBL

The winner is ranked with the 8. and the 6 is lower
I only use the phase 1 screen
But BLBL agrees and the 4 is a solid bet.
I just prefer to keep it simple



Phase 1 is only uses 3/7 of the BLBL factors I break ties on phase 1
using the early late readouts and the match up .

Doc made the BLBL so I trust it too

[shoeless]

Hi Bill,

Great workup of that race and love how you use the notes
to explain things.


Thanks
Jeff

[shoeless]

You also had the 54.00 exacta boxing your top 3

[Bill V.]

Thanks Jeff

In today's 7th race

Here are the 3 early or Early /Early pressers