RDSS 2.1 Factor Statistical Study - Pace and Cap

Bill Lyster · 04-13-2016, 10:51 PM

Mitch, when the study was done, we set the paceline selection to automatically select the best of the last three according to how the program is coded. In many cases, I personally would not have chosen the lines that the program did, but the results are what the program chose, not me. In some cases, the program chose grass lines for dirt races and vice versa when races on todays surface were not competitive - which really surprised me! So in that respect there was no deviation in the selection of pacelines. In my own handicapping I am learning that I do a lot of zigging and zagging and as a result my paceline selections get shaded towards my own long held beliefs which long term have not yielded much to crow about. 2500 races later, my beliefs are changing for the better because of what this study shows. Races came from SA, DMR, TAM, GP, BEL, with the number of races approximately split between east and west.

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04-13-2016, 10:51 PM	#6
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,509	Mitch, when the study was done, we set the paceline selection to automatically select the best of the last three according to how the program is coded. In many cases, I personally would not have chosen the lines that the program did, but the results are what the program chose, not me. In some cases, the program chose grass lines for dirt races and vice versa when races on todays surface were not competitive - which really surprised me! So in that respect there was no deviation in the selection of pacelines. In my own handicapping I am learning that I do a lot of zigging and zagging and as a result my paceline selections get shaded towards my own long held beliefs which long term have not yielded much to crow about. 2500 races later, my beliefs are changing for the better because of what this study shows. Races came from SA, DMR, TAM, GP, BEL, with the number of races approximately split between east and west.