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Pace Makes the Race / TPR Total Pace Ratings Discussion, Examples, Lessons from Total Pace Ratings (TPR) aka 'Phase I' from the book 'Pace Makes the Race'

 
 
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Old 04-17-2016, 10:58 PM   #4
Bill V.
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Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
My look

Here are my readouts and work sheet

My look at the 5th from GP
CL 6500 Non winner 3 life 3+F
Step 1 Top 5 TPR Line 1
8 3 5 1 4

Step 2 Fulcrum horse
Fulcrum horse # 8 92 EPR

Step 3 Running styles

Horse 1 EP Line 1
Horse 2 U or Nf router. No line. No competive races against todays fulcrum 92 EPR
Horse 3 Early Presser Line 1 puts itin the top 5 TPR but its no a comparable line I went to line 5 Line 1,2,3 are
from too high class. In line 1 It had the lead into the stretch against open 16000 horses. I excused line 4
Horse 4 SP as Router Line 1 puts it in the top 5 TPR off the last line but against only a 83 EPR
Horse 5 Presser Line 2 excuse line 1. 7 furlongs. Claimed from that race then layed off Line 2 works
Horse 6 No Line 20/1 ML no competive races as a sprinter against a 92 EPR
Horse 7 Presser Line 2 I will excuse line 1 too high class
Horse 8 Early line 1 2nd off a layoff after a year and a half layoff - 3 year old filly - Bounce ?




Step 4 Who has the top EPR

The 8 has the best EPR 92
Early
Can It go wire to
wire = It could do it again but its outside post, won last race, could bounce

Step 5 rate the lines make your decisions


The top TPR horses
They are 8 3 5
Top 3 VDC = 8 3 6


My bets 3 and 5
8 looks good but I already mentioned why I am betting against it .
The 7 has too low a LPR

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