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#21 |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Thank You
Mr. Pagine
Yes The BC seems so far away, but with racing, the year goes so fast. First stops are the triple crown preps, Then my annual trip to Santa Anita for the SA Derby. Then the big 3 races Kentucky, Pimlico and NYC Belmont The wild ride up to Woodbine for the Queens plate Then we move to Monmouth, I have to do a bunch of races from the Jersey shore for Brooks, Maybe to Saratoga this time Then of course get ready to head to Parx for the Penn Derby and then look before we know it its birthday time and the Breeders Cup in my backyard right here at Del Mar Yea 2017 !!!! |
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#22 |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Thanks
Thank you Richie, Tim and Bob
I don't usually play the pick 3 Its been only pick 4's I got to Del Mar Just as race 1 was going off and I saw the track was muddy I just rolled into town, My buddy told me its been raining for days. That explains the LP bias It never rains in Socal, yes it does and when it does SA gets Late. I watched race 1 and 2 again favor my LP horses - and or TPR So since race 2 is the start of the pick 4 I could only do race 3, 4, 5, The 4 in race 5 was 2/5 so I was happy to win that race and get a nice payer Bill |
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#23 |
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turf historian
Join Date: Feb 2008
Posts: 6,455
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Odd, as long as I have been recording biases, RAIN creates the earliest of early biases.
This baloney about the pace horse selectively tiring has NO biases in fact as ALL the horses are running over that same surface and it any tiring is the result, they are ALL subject to it.
__________________
Albert Einstein:"The monotony and solitude of a quiet life stimulates the creative mind." |
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#24 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 11,515
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I believe that what happens when a track is sly and then proceeds to dry out going to mdy and then good is different at each track. I don't believe that one can make a blanket statement on what running style will prevail. In my humble opinion one must know their tracks and maintain records.
Tim G
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Trust but verify |
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#25 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Thornhill ON
Posts: 438
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Parx ruled
Excellant racing
Will see later action To-day
__________________
May all wagers be Winners...
Last edited by dlivery; 01-10-2017 at 07:22 AM. Reason: spelling |
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#26 | |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Quote:
SA was once again fast on Sunday and Early positional dominated, The races also were extremely formful.The three lowest morning line horses won 7 of the 9 races The lowest morning line horse won 5 times the 2nd lowest 1 time the 3rd lowest 1time |
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#27 |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Most recent SA Model - Profile 20 races
Last 20 races SA
Last edited by Bill V.; 01-10-2017 at 02:45 PM. Reason: cleaner screen shot |
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#28 | |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: the great race place
Posts: 205
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Quote:
Hey Bill, Is your profile a mix of sprint and route races ? Thank you, Paul link |
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#29 |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Last
Hey Paul
The last 20 races, So that would be 9 races Sunday, 9 Saturday and final 2 races Friday , I have a master model - profile spreadsheet which is every race everyday. Once I enter the race on the master, I then copy and paste to specialized spreadsheets which are broken down to distance , surface and maiden/non maiden. Eventually I can break it down to sex, age, once I have a big enough sample of a race type . What I am showing here is from the master spreadsheet , and the most recent 20 races All . Bill |
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#30 |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Should
I guess I should of captured the race date info on the screen shot!
The last row (bottom) is the most recent race So here that would be race 9 from Sunday And the top row would be race 7 from Friday Bill |
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