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Old 01-10-2017, 02:33 PM   #1
Bill V.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lt1 View Post
I believe that what happens when a track is sly and then proceeds to dry out going to mdy and then good is different at each track. I don't believe that one can make a blanket statement on what running style will prevail. In my humble opinion one must know their tracks and maintain records.
Tim G
Thumbs up, Drainage and composition and freezing are not the same across the board
SA was once again fast on Sunday and Early positional dominated, The races also were extremely formful.The three lowest morning line horses won 7 of the 9 races
The lowest morning line horse won 5 times the 2nd lowest 1 time the 3rd lowest 1time
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Old 01-10-2017, 02:40 PM   #2
Bill V.
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Most recent SA Model - Profile 20 races

Last 20 races SA

Name:  Cleanup2.JPG
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Size:  70.5 KB

Last edited by Bill V.; 01-10-2017 at 02:45 PM. Reason: cleaner screen shot
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Old 01-10-2017, 03:25 PM   #3
sureshotlink
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill V. View Post
Last 20 races SA

Attachment 42010


Hey Bill,

Is your profile a mix of sprint and route races ?

Thank you,

Paul link
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Old 01-10-2017, 04:28 PM   #4
Bill V.
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Last

Hey Paul
The last 20 races, So that would be 9 races Sunday, 9 Saturday and final 2 races
Friday ,

I have a master model - profile spreadsheet which is every race everyday.
Once I enter the race on the master, I then copy and paste to specialized spreadsheets which are broken down to distance , surface and maiden/non maiden. Eventually I can break it down to sex, age, once I have a big enough sample of a race type .

What I am showing here is from the master spreadsheet , and the most recent 20 races
All .

Bill
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Old 01-10-2017, 04:33 PM   #5
Bill V.
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Should

I guess I should of captured the race date info on the screen shot!

The last row (bottom) is the most recent race So here that would be race 9 from Sunday
And the top row would be race 7 from Friday

Bill
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Old 01-11-2017, 11:15 AM   #6
rmath
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SA Profile

Bill are the EPR LPR and Tpr rankings in your SA profile all taken from the last pace line OR do they come from the lines you choose after you get your contenders?
Thanks
Rmath
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Old 01-11-2017, 03:54 PM   #7
Bill V.
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Bill are the EPR LPR and Tpr rankings in your SA profile all taken from the last pace line OR do they come from the lines you choose after you get your contenders?
Thanks
Rmath
Hey first off me and my family thank you for your prayers and kindness
in the tough loss of mom.<3


Dick, What I do is, I take the numbers for my Model from the paceline I used.
For the profile I use the result charts . remember the Profile is what the track is doing, the Model is based on my handicapping records .

Here is an example of how I enter horses onto my profile and model.

Lets look at race 6 from Parx yesterday ( a race I won )
and I happen to be looking at when I saw your post,

First here is the winner, #3 Red Rocket . I used the last line, or in the spirit of this thread
I had auto selected the last line for every horse, and for this horse I stayed with the last line.

Name:  Red Pacelin.JPG
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For my Parx profile - I would first check the results chart
I would enter lots of stuff but most important is the date,surface, class, sex age and track condition.
Now using the chart, I enter the size of the field, The Position at the EPR or second call and the beaten lengths at the EPR second call.

So I would enter for this race for the winner
Field 10 Pos2, 2 BL 2 1.0

Name:  3red rocket results.JPG
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Now for the model , The model is to show me how I am doing in my handicapping using Phase 1

so here I look at my TPR screen.

Name:  Red TPR.JPG
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Size:  109.9 KB

I enter the RANKING of the winner in EPR, LPR and TPR
from the pace line I used.
Red Rocket had a 88.5 EPR , 87.9 LPR and 176.4 TPR (I also record the e/l and %Med )

The 88.4 was the 4th best ranked the 87.9 LPR was 3rd best and the 176.4 TPR was the 5th best. So on my model I would show the winner of this race as E4 L 3 T 5

I take the EPR LPR and TPR as well as the Early Late diff and % Med and RS
from the pace line I used

Now here is an interesting thing. Lets say in a few weeks Red Rocket
is in another 6.5 distance race at Parx on a fast track, I then will enter the actual Phase 1 numbers RDSS adjusted the race from yesterday but I will bold face the numbers, Surprisingly Since RDSS has already adjusted the paceline I used , which was 5.5 furlongs to today's distanceof 6.5, The actual numbers I will eventually see, are very often very close to the paceline numbers, This is why i'm confident using the pace line numbers
on a daily basis. It is easy and eventually i get a real clear idea of the track i'm workings profile based on the pace line info.
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