race 7 SA Starter Handicap

[For The Lead]

Originally Posted by Bill V.

Starter Handicap Race 7 Santa Anita
horses that have started for $16000 or less since May 1 2017

Phase 1

First off last line TPR
5 6 2 7 4 1 3

My notes

Horse 1 Router looks tough for this race
as her EPR is so low it probably will hurt her LPR
as she runs with the sprinters

Horse 2 Line 1 , comes back after 5 weeks freshening

Horse 3 Line 1 Last line is a + race but 20/1

Horse 4 Line 4 85 days ago + race excuse line 1,2,3 routes

Horse 5 Line 1 is a + race but 60 days ago

Horse 6 Line 1 is a + pace line 54 days ago

Horse 7 has not run since Del Mar 54 days ago
she was beaten badly by horse 6 in that race

I will go with 5 and 6

1 possibly under these

Wish me luck I have been out of it for awhile Good to be home

Just as a reminder, a HANDICAP race can be a "Starter Handicap" for $3,500 or it could be a Grade 1 Handicap. They are based on the same premise.
With that in mind, the high weighted horse (#4) won the race.
There was a tie for second highest weighted (#1 & #7), they ran 2nd and 3rd.
The remaining contender would have been #5.
The idea is to use 3 and no more than 4 horses as contenders. And the only time you use 4 is when there is a tie like in this race today.