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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems

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Old 04-07-2019, 12:38 PM   #1
tleusin
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Anothertwistafate will run in the Lexington at Keeneland. A first or second will put him into the mix.
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Old 04-14-2019, 12:32 PM   #2
lone speed
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Arkansas Derby result

The last major Derby prep race was won by Omaha Beach over Improbable who reared up inside the starting gate prior to the start and had to be reloaded. Great horse race even though it was run over a sloppy track.

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Old 04-14-2019, 12:35 PM   #3
lone speed
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Current potential Derby starters barring defections

Thanks to Pat Infante for latest update with last fractions.. Side-note: under the Sartin Methodology- Sartin stressed top Hidden Energy and Sustained Energy.


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Old 04-14-2019, 12:45 PM   #4
lone speed
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Interesting Derby Prep form to compare with Improbable

Bob Baffert will have 3 out of the top 4 betting choices in the 2019 Kentucky Derby. More than likely, Omaha Beach will be the starting gate favorite after his sterling win over Improbable who gave a vain chase in the Arkansas Derby.

I wanted to compare Baffert's Real Quiet who won the 1998 Kentucky Derby. Real Quiet's Derby prep races form seem comparable to Improbable's Derby prep races in form and in energy exertions prior to the Kentucky Derby race.

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Old 04-16-2019, 10:45 AM   #5
lone speed
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CJ's US Timeform speed figures

I pasted a copy of CJ's US Timeform figures. IMHO, CJ's speed figures are more stable and reliable than Beyer's # . Andy Beyer did an overall of his numbers recently. You cannot compare the Beyer numbers of today with prior Beyer numbers.

In terms of Profitability- I have not tested them.

Many thanks and credit to CJ for sharing his speed figures, publicly....


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Old 04-18-2019, 01:32 AM   #6
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Bris past performances of top points contenders

Here is a link to an early Brisnet Past Performances of the top contenders for the 2019 Kentucky Derby:

http://www.brisnet.com/wp-content/up...by19Points.pdf
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Old 04-18-2019, 01:41 AM   #7
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