PP Line Selection - Pace and Cap

Mitch44 · 09-06-2019, 12:33 AM

I personally would choose line # 4 for this horse.

Line 2 wrong surface, line 3 is not within 1 furlong of todays distance. That leaves lines 1,4 & 5 with the best Preceptor being line 4.

I think this horse can even run better than line 4 because his best races are all at 6 F and today he is cutting back in distance and can run faster while not decelerating as much as he would at 7 F. He is pretty consistent at the stretch call in just about all his races and recent Tot. Energy would be better at 6F.

He is pretty consistent for a 9 yr. old. As far as age its not a concern as there are probably others in this race that are old warriors. In other words the age aspect would have to be put in context of the other horses within the race. Ditto for consistency, class etc.

This is just an analysis of this horse and all this is meaningless as far as the other contenders within the race. Each contender must be evaluated before a final decision can be made. I think this horse could have been a winner this year if ran at the 6 F distance. This race may be the first carded at 6 F for a long period of time.

His M/L,APV, CSR and CR all indicate he is a contender.

Mitch44

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09-06-2019, 12:33 AM	#24
Mitch44 Grade 1 Join Date: Nov 2014 Location: The Villages, Fl. Posts: 3,872	I personally would choose line # 4 for this horse. Line 2 wrong surface, line 3 is not within 1 furlong of todays distance. That leaves lines 1,4 & 5 with the best Preceptor being line 4. I think this horse can even run better than line 4 because his best races are all at 6 F and today he is cutting back in distance and can run faster while not decelerating as much as he would at 7 F. He is pretty consistent at the stretch call in just about all his races and recent Tot. Energy would be better at 6F. He is pretty consistent for a 9 yr. old. As far as age its not a concern as there are probably others in this race that are old warriors. In other words the age aspect would have to be put in context of the other horses within the race. Ditto for consistency, class etc. This is just an analysis of this horse and all this is meaningless as far as the other contenders within the race. Each contender must be evaluated before a final decision can be made. I think this horse could have been a winner this year if ran at the 6 F distance. This race may be the first carded at 6 F for a long period of time. His M/L,APV, CSR and CR all indicate he is a contender. Mitch44