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Old 01-16-2007, 04:52 PM   #7
Houndog
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Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 1,258
Tampa 6 furlong races

Quote:
Originally Posted by shoeless View Post
I really need help on learning the best way to decide if a race will be run early or late.I realize it's a tough question and some of you may be thinking why should I tell him.But Im hoping I will get some replies to this.Im using Synergsm and when you setup the race it's either based on FW,Early or Sustained.The manual says use FW when it doubt but if you can decide early or late I find the readouts to be more predictive.Yesterday at Tampa in the 7th I ranked it FW and the horse came up 3rd.If I would have done it early he was 1st and he paid 23.00 to win.Any thoughts?Jeff
Jeff, I thought since I am a Brisnet member I would take advantage of the Ultimate PP's Giveaways. They have a race summary at the end of the pp's for each race. Anyhow from 12/09 thru 01/14 out of 64 races at 6 furlongs 41% of the races went W/W. By Bris's designation which may not be the same as what we use 48% of winners had an early designation, 22% had an e/p designation, 23% presser, and 6% sustained.

The average B/L's at the first call was 1.5 lengths, and 1.1 at the second call. I think with this information one could make a case for using the Early sort, followed by the FW sort. With this information I would not use the Sustained sort. This of course could change in the future, but so far this is what has happened so far at 6 furlongs at Tampa Bay.
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