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#5 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2015
Posts: 441
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I'll try once more; but in this thread.
http://paceandcap.com/forums/showpos...32&postcount=6
In the image here, (in the link above) the runners are sorted by the ES% column. From my scans of the New Pace screen, my guess is that the probabilities of which horse(s) are most likely to grab/contest the early lead (1st call) aren't calculated solely based on the "early speed points"; and that the adjusted numbers seen in the Velocity POH screen are involved. Am I correct? or wrong about this? More questions: Are the individual runners' "early speed points" calculated by RDSS?, and how? Is it about the runner's competitive lines?, or just based on early position and beaten lengths?; and is the "RS & early speed points" designation limited to recency (or a set number of lines back in the PPs)? I thought I did read that RDSS does an average of the runner's early position & lengths behind; but I don't know how many lines back RDSS goes. I'm aware of how William Quirin used to add up the "early speed points"; and how Dave Schwartz did it about 6 years ago. ------------------------------------------------------------------ Next to the #7's 34 in the 62% Accum. column looks like a 56. What does that mean? The #1 is the swing horse? OK. It sounds like he's neither Early nor Late. Finally, the "POR: 86" at the bottom of the 62% Accum. list. Not sure how to use that, or if it's meaningful at all. Thanks in advance, Mike
__________________
just keeping my trajectory in the positive http://sartinmethodology.com/pubs/RD...d_Glossary.pdf |
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