MatchUP intuition is "Primary", MatchUP mathematics is "Corollary"/Secondary

[VoodooFan]

Originally Posted by THE HAT

A horse feels comfortable in a certain position. Always look and find the position where a horse does his best.

The Hat

Originally Posted by THE HAT

Balancing Position Call With Beaten Lengths

Balancing position call with beaten lengths is not really that difficult, but is
an important phase of understanding The Match Up.

Originally Posted by THE HAT

Remember, it takes one unit of energy to gain position and one unit of energy to gain beaten lengths


The Hat

Originally Posted by THE HAT

First I will establish the pace of today’s Race:

Today’s Projected Pace is: Pace: 22 .2 45.2 110.3

Originally Posted by THE HAT

Here is my analysis of the race:

The 1 horse is one fifth of a second slower than today’s pace and will lose positions and beaten lengths, he is eliminated.

#1 - http://paceandcap.com/forums/showpos...52&postcount=6

Originally Posted by THE HAT

The 9 horse will gain one position from fourth to third, but using his beaten lengths he will be third at the second call and his final time is slower than today’s pace, out he goes.

#9- http://paceandcap.com/forums/showpos...0&postcount=14

Originally Posted by THE HAT

The 6 horse is an outstanding horse, his position will change from fourth to third and with no other horse in front of him he will gain position and beaten lengths and will take the lead at the second call, because his second call is faster than today’s projected pace. Santa Anita is about two fifths of a second faster than Belmont, and after adding the five beaten lengths to the 108.3 he runs a 109.3. I add a couple of fifths to this time for track to track, which makes it 110. He is an Early Presser and will destroy this field.

#6- http://paceandcap.com/forums/showpos...7&postcount=11



VoodooFan