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NewPace Discussion Forum (old) An old discussion forum for users of Dave Schwartz' NewPace (as implemented in RDSS 2.0) circa 2011

 
 
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Old 05-13-2011, 06:39 PM   #1
SilentRun
Grade 1 Aspiree
 
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 678
Evd race 1 for 5/13

Ted,

I hand caluclated the race and I came up with the same EE - LL but I have differences for rrSe for the # 4 and # 8 horses as follows:

For the # 4 horse:

From RDSS original the horse was within 1 length of the first call:

4/29/11, 1/14/11, 7/28/10, 5/7/10 and 3/10/10....5 x's = 50
E/L 2.0 shows 60.

For the 8 horse he was only within 1 length of the first call on 12 sept 10
therefore he should receive a 10. E/L 2.0 shows 20.

In using Dave's New Pace Developments to modify the EE - LL horses.

My interpretation is: There is no dominant horse that has a 58% over the 2nd horse and the #5 horse does not have at least a 25% edge himself then:

There is no need of a POR. So according to the New Pace Developments there
is 0 (zero) early horses.

Therefore my interpretation for 3. SPEED RATINGS FOR EARLY are now based on RegSpeedHigh The 2 and 1 are tied for speedreqhigh.

I am using my own method to break ties and going with the 2 because:

a) The 2 ranks higher early than the 1.

b) The 2 was up close in its last race finishing 2nd whereby the 1 was off 55 days.

c) And RDSS ranks the 2 as BL/BL =1

So my EE - LL are: 2,10 - 3, 6

Ernie

Last edited by SilentRun; 05-13-2011 at 06:49 PM.
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