AQU 12-01-11 Race -1 (Synergism & PaceAppraiser)

[partsnut]

AQU 12-01-11 Race -1 (Synergism & PaceAppraiser)

[raceman5]

2 wins pars for 30.00!!! very nice. its interesting when i had syn 2 many yrs ago i modled the inner dirt and the FW horses who were ranked 1st 2nd and 3rd. won 70% of the races. Wish i still had that program.


Bob

[partsnut]

Originally Posted by raceman5

2 wins pars for 30.00!!! very nice. its interesting when i had syn 2 many yrs ago i modled the inner dirt and the FW horses who were ranked 1st 2nd and 3rd. won 70% of the races. Wish i still had that program.


Bob

Hi Bob,

My big mistake in this race was that I opted to put the (7) in the top 2.
Actually, the race set up for Early so I should have put the (2) in second postion because he projected to be closer to the pace and also complied with the power of 50 rule.

[gl45]

be careful about the power of 50
the power 50 is based on handicapper pace line selection, set up time and not the 3 years best time.
If you don't abide by the Syn2 rules, you might win a few races in the short term, long term....?????

[partsnut]

gl45:

be careful about the power of 50
the power 50 is based on handicapper pace line selection, set up time and not the 3 years best time.
If you don't abide by the Syn2 rules, you might win a few races in the short term, long term....?????

Pino, thanks.

When I use SYN 2 I never use the best 3 year times.
I make my SYN 2 files with the SpeedPlus program.
I use the auto variant feature in SpeedPlus.
When Ted releases the SYN 2 export feature in his next Beta update,
I will use RDSS to create the SYN 2 adjusted files.

Not to worry, there are some that will take advantage of this and might know how to best interpret SYN 2 readouts and benefit by them but all in all not that many will even pay attention or know how or what to do with them.
I learned a long time ago that you can't tell a horse player very much.
It's like the old saying goes,"you can lead a horse to water but you can't make him drink.

[shoeless]

I wouldnt mind one of you guys go into depth about using the dream race readouts.

[For The Lead]

Originally Posted by partsnut

gl45:


Not to worry, there are some that will take advantage of this and might know how to best interpret syn 2 readouts and benefit by them but all in all not that many will even pay attention or know how or what to do with them.
I learned a long time ago that you can't tell a horse player very much.
It's like the old saying goes,"you can lead a horse to water but you can't make him drink.:d

amen

[Bill V.]

Hi Bill way to go getting the nice $30 winner in your top three

Bill I think your a student of the masters Im lookijng at horse 7
I know pace makes the race but does a horses lack of winning
play into your selection methods. I think Tom Brohamer says often
he would be weary of a 0/17 maiden like horse 7 that was beaten
34 lenghts in its last two races

Just thinking out load ..
Good Skill and health always

Bill

[partsnut]

Bill V,

Hi Bill way to go getting the nice $30 winner in your top three

Bill I think your a student of the masters Im lookijng at horse 7
I know pace makes the race but does a horses lack of winning
play into your selection methods. I think Tom Brohamer says often
he would be weary of a 0/17 maiden like horse 7 that was beaten
34 lenghts in its last two races

Just thinking out load ..
Good Skill and health always

Bill

You're right. I was not careful in my interpretations of the screens
and because the race did favor early, I literally went against the grain with the (7). Actually, I should have had the winner in my top 2 because that winning horse was closer to the lead at the second call.

[For The Lead]

Originally Posted by partsnut

Bill V,


You're right. I was not careful in my interpretations of the screens
and because the race did favor early, I literally went against the grain with the (7). Actually, I should have had the winner in my top 2 because that winning horse was closer to the lead at the second call.

It seems that lost in this analysis is the fact that your screen shots show numbers 1 AND 5 as the early horses based on the following;
1 - first call "feet per second"
2 - median energy
3 - column "EP" in the rankings
4 - second call beaten lengths

All these factors clearly show the #1 AND #5 as the early horses
If the program "suggests" early, then those are the two horses.
The chart of the race bears this out.