Gulfstream Park, St. Patrick's Day - Pace and Cap

Seven Furlongs · 03-17-2015, 07:16 AM

7th race, 1 1/16t optional claimer.

Not a lot of early speed in this race, as I have just the 5, and 6 as horses that like run up front. Every one else either presses or closes.

I think the odds makers got this race pretty right. I have the 2, 6, and 8 as the best horses and those are, I think, the 3 horses with the lowest ML odds.

Of the early horses, I think 6 is best. Of the late horses the 2 is best. The 2 horse is a presser and has run well against faster pace lines. Plus, it has a better late fraction, but then again, most early horses have poorer late fractions so that may not be saying much.

At the slightly higher odds the 2 is better value, but, it is no sure thing. Then again, neither is the 6.

Thread Tools
Show Printable Version Email this Page
Display Modes
Switch to Linear Mode Switch to Hybrid Mode Threaded Mode

Similar Threads
Thread	Thread Starter	Forum	Replies	Last Post
Gulfstream Park Saturday (3 Matchers in a Row)	The Pook	Matchup Discussion	30	02-21-2015 04:34 PM
Gulfstream Park	Segwin	General Discussion	2	04-03-2014 04:34 PM
Gulfstream Park - Winners	Mr.Pagine	Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum	6	01-20-2013 10:55 PM
Gulfstream Park fishtank broke	alydar_ David	General Discussion	3	09-05-2012 05:17 PM

03-17-2015, 07:16 AM	#10
Seven Furlongs Grade 1 Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 115	7th race, 1 1/16t optional claimer. Not a lot of early speed in this race, as I have just the 5, and 6 as horses that like run up front. Every one else either presses or closes. I think the odds makers got this race pretty right. I have the 2, 6, and 8 as the best horses and those are, I think, the 3 horses with the lowest ML odds. Of the early horses, I think 6 is best. Of the late horses the 2 is best. The 2 horse is a presser and has run well against faster pace lines. Plus, it has a better late fraction, but then again, most early horses have poorer late fractions so that may not be saying much. At the slightly higher odds the 2 is better value, but, it is no sure thing. Then again, neither is the 6.