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| Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum General Handicapping Discussion |
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#1 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 330
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eliminations list
Shoeless, your list looks good, except i would be careful of eliminating
horses who won and are dropping in class. To me, it would depend on the track and the class level of the race . Trainers play tricks with drops in price and class levels. A thought
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#2 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 330
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What and Why
GL, this is the biggest reason i restrict my serious play to "fresh" and "lay off" horses. This quantifies the WHY for me.
Last edited by Bob Cochran; 02-07-2007 at 02:38 PM. Reason: clarity |
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#3 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 878
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"Trainers play tricks with drops in price and class levels."
Well said. Your statement mirror the WHY question. Pino |
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#4 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 4,661
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Bob,If I see a horse win a 20,000 claimer and then his next race is in a 15,000 to me this is a negative drop in class.I think more often then not these horses will lose at a short price.Jeff
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#5 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 330
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winners dropping in class
Jeff
the horse might not be a legitimate 20,000 claimer and the trainer knows this , so he drops him in a certain race hoping to "sell" him and at the same time pick up the winner's share, or any part of the purse. you think? |
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#6 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 4,661
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Bob,Could be but over the years I have seen too many of these types of horses lose.Jeff
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#7 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 330
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class droppers
If your records indicate the negative class dropper as a legitmate elimination,
by all means, eliminate. Be careful in races for nw 2 lifetime.
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