How do I interpret this

[froggy]

This is what the public sees.

[froggy]

His TPR was strong (7 point advantage) but was all early.

[froggy]

He even looked good here.

[froggy]

But because the odds were not in my favor. The second choice was 1/2 this was not a play for my regular bankroll.
I sure thought about betting him because his TPR had such a great advantage.
"Can he do the distance"
In the final analysis this race was a pass.
Look at the TT and HID of the winner.
Corollaries are still important.

[Turbulator]

Originally Posted by froggy

Steve,
Contrary to what other people are able to do, I must confess that after all of these years I still can't do the "matchup" very well.

You're not alone, Froggy. The MatchUp is extremely difficult. It's so hard that I'm this close to giving it up. The Hat has a special gift, and I'm beginning to believe that what he does is just a kind of magic that only he can do. I just don't have the patience and the energy to sift through dozen and dozens of races to find those two or three that fit the perfect criteria. I want to be able to play all the races--or most of them anyway. That's why I'm exploring other options. I'm just getting old, I guess.

I always try to keep an open mind.

Thanks for your analysis--very interesting. I learned something.