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| General Discussion General Horse Racing Discussion |
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#1 |
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Happy Punting
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Toronto, Ontario
Posts: 527
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Configure Settings and Happy New Year to all.
My personal goal in 2017 is to become the absolute best handicapper I can be; and with this as the goal, I ask you all 2 questions:
1) What is the best configuration setting? 2) What is the best Paceline Selection Strategy? Happy New Year to All, and may all of your bets CASH!! Jon Lee |
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#2 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 11,515
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Hi Jon and Happy New Year to you. In answer to your questions I stay with the default configuration setting and use the best of the last 3 preceptor rating as my paceline selection. I will however change the ones I do not concur with.
Tim G
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Trust but verify |
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#3 |
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turf historian
Join Date: Feb 2008
Posts: 6,455
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Oaklawn
John call me when I return from helping my sister with her hip operation and we will look after Oaklawn. I e-mailed you about that.
I work evenings at the standardbreds Monday, Thursday, Friday and Saturday. THE REAL TRICK in this game is NOT the evaluation of the field but the way you take advantage of the crowd's ignorance as regards it, aka BETTING properly..we can play Oaklawn together, a real nice track with good payouts.
__________________
Albert Einstein:"The monotony and solitude of a quiet life stimulates the creative mind." |
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#4 |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Phase 1
Happy New Year
I use the default setting, but validator mode, My pace line selection method= Last Line Last line, evaluate every horse, then either stay with the last line, or make changes if last line is not comparable, I next evaluate all lines for running style, and look at the horses three highest TPR lines, I Select a recent line within the last 3 or maybe four that is representative of the horse ability of EPR LPR and Early Late stick , I go to the energy screen and check %med and energy running styles for conformation based on my model and profile, This method works well for me at So Cal I only seriously wager Del Mar and Santa Anita so the DTV is not much of an issue . Happy new year Bill |
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#5 |
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turf historian
Join Date: Feb 2008
Posts: 6,455
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arbitrarty
just blindly using the last line guarantees an inaccurate assessment of a horse's overall ability: sample error at its worst.
You are looking at that horse's adaptation to the ONE specific pace and TRIP (a huge variable) that the horse encountered ONE day.
__________________
Albert Einstein:"The monotony and solitude of a quiet life stimulates the creative mind." |
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#6 | |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Quote:
I guess you failed to read my post I START with the last line. I disagree with you, I feel the last line is very important, It the most recent example of a horses form and ability, I almost always move off the last line. Always rate the last line its mentioned more then a few times in Pace Makes The Race how important it is to evaluate every horses last line. . The OP asked what each of us do, so That is what I did. I am very successful.You would be more helpful to offer your answers to direct questions rather than just comment on what other who are sucessful do This is not the Tim Y methodology Peace and love and skill to you Bill |
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#7 | |
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Happy Punting
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Toronto, Ontario
Posts: 527
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Quote:
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#8 | |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Pick 3
Quote:
Pick 3 pays $209.50 ![]() |
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#9 | |
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Happy Punting
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Toronto, Ontario
Posts: 527
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Will Call
Quote:
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#10 |
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Happy Punting
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Toronto, Ontario
Posts: 527
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Thanks Tim G - Much appreciated
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