How Do You Match-Up This Race

[Turbulator]

Here's an example of a race that personifies some my problems with the Match-Up. It's the 1st at EVD 5/27

Assuming my pacelines are correct how do you Match-Up this race?

If you think the race is going to run early then JD is the horse. If you think it is going to be won by a presser then it's Jacob. If sustained, then Walk or Prince look logical. So far so good. How do you decide?

First I thought presser, but then I felt that JD could possibly wire it. Then I switched to sustained, because i felt that the presser could possibly push JD to run faster than he wanted. But I wasn't sure about that, so I'm left to guess.

The only thing I was pretty sure of is if it did run sustained it was one of those two horses, Walk or Prince, and Walk appeared to have slightly the best of it. Walk and Prince came out of a tandem race.

Walk and Prince were the first and second favorite followed by the presser Jacob. The prices were pretty short, so I'm sure I would have probably passed this race. It's still a good exercise. If the Match-Up points to a short-priced favorite you can play it if you want to or key it in exotics, but it might not be a very good win bet unless you can single the horse with a lot of confidence.