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| RDSS - Leverage/Pace Discussion about a NEW RDSS approach to identifying Key Contenders, the Pace Bias and a structured betting approach |
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#1 |
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AlwNW1X
Join Date: Mar 2025
Posts: 13
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Double Race 11/12 at Oaklawn
I have been working the data for about 2 weeks now. A lot of trial and error. After a meeting with Dick today, I felt way more comfortable. I was down about 100 today with multiple seconds on some W bets and double bets. I finally found my spot to lay it in (cautiously lol). Race 11 was a guarantee with Thorpedo Anna (based on data/PPs etc). In race 12, my two horses were the 1 & 9. My initial thought was to play two $40 dollar doubles, 6/1,9 (which is my normal betting style for doubles). However, still testing the data I just used the 9. I thought the 1 was going to be a little farther back than the 9 (EP3). Why the 9? I really leaned on the RS column in this race. I noticed there was 4 horses with a E5 and above. I was expecting a fast/pressured pace (20 RS). I noticed the 9s running style was an EP6. I was hoping the 9 would stalk 3rd or 4th and close in. That is exactly what happened, 9 was 4th and then gradually came into second and finally took the lead in the stretch. This horse was also the 2nd ranked late NP horse. From a handicapping perspective, I also liked this race was second off layoff.
6/9 $40 double x $13.70 = $548 Marc |
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