Go Back   Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up > RDSS
Get RDSS
Google Site Search Get RDSS Sartin Library RDSS FAQs Conduct Register Site FAQ Members List Today's Posts

RDSS Racing Decision Support System – The Modern Sartin Methodology

 
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 02-26-2007, 10:02 PM   #11
RichieP
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,019
Primary screen
ADJUSTED DATA
Attached Images
 
RichieP is offline  
Old 02-26-2007, 10:03 PM   #12
RichieP
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,019
Bl/Bl screen
ADJUSTED DATA

will update if scratches tomorrow

ALL users of RDSS are welcome to join in!
Attached Images
 
RichieP is offline  
Old 02-26-2007, 10:14 PM   #13
JimG
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 992
Quote:
Originally Posted by RichieP View Post
Bl/Bl screen
ADJUSTED DATA

ALL users of RDSS are welcome to join in!
Hey Richie,

I am no expert with the software, but when I get some time in the morning I will try to work the race and post a few screen shots as well. I use the software differently, but what the heck, it would be boring if we all did things the same way.

Jim

PS...Hope your birthday was great
JimG is offline  
Old 02-26-2007, 10:29 PM   #14
RichieP
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,019
Quote:
Originally Posted by JimG View Post
Hey Richie,

I am no expert with the software, but when I get some time in the morning I will try to work the race and post a few screen shots as well. I use the software differently, but what the heck, it would be boring if we all did things the same way.

Jim

PS...Hope your birthday was great
Dude you are a giant among men!

Jump in cause this race has the nightmare sprinters stretching out for ME.

Certainly didnt cherry pick this one.

looking forward to what you and others get here man
Richie
RichieP is offline  
Old 02-27-2007, 12:08 AM   #15
JimG
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 992
Wow, NW3L, none of these horses will be in the Breeder's Cup for sure. I chose a paceline that I felt was representative for each horse given the makeup of the race, then hid horses to get down to five using energy and primary line score. I remove 1 horse at a time and do not go past 100 days for a race line. When a race is full of horses off a layoff, I pass unless it is a mandatory contest race.

For me this race came down to the 1 and 4. The 1 is stretching out, has the rail going a route, and should get a relatively easy lead. Should be able to hold if not pressed too hard through the first 4 furlongs. The knock on the 1 is he has won only 1 race, so he is stepping up against winners of two races. I do feel the stretch out and key post position here will be a big help to him. The 4 came up strong on the software, as the pace line I chose, the horse made a nice middle move. At Tampa, I like to see horses on the lead or no further back than 4 lengths at the 4F mark in a route. 1 is 3-1 ML and 4 is 12-1 ML. I think the 1 is most likely to win but if the 4 is near his morning line I would be inclined to split the bet 60/40.

The two screens that I think tell the story are attached.

Jim
Attached Images
 

Last edited by JimG; 02-27-2007 at 12:11 AM.
JimG is offline  
Old 02-27-2007, 12:09 AM   #16
JimG
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 992
Screen Number 2. Nice pace ratings on the 1 for sure.
Attached Images
 
JimG is offline  
Old 02-27-2007, 04:56 AM   #17
admin
Administrator
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,643
My look

I did race 2 from Tampa 022707
here is my work up

First my APV- CR for each hosre in the last two years
except # 8

1. 102.0% 1.27 ****** SR 78
2. 126.1% 0.89
3. 100.3% 1.28 ****** SR 68,72
4. 138.1 % 1.11 ******
5. 106.5 % 118.0 ****** 72 73
6 112.2 % 0.89
7. 119.8% 1.09 ********
8. 133.0% 1.06 Lifetime record only 2- 0 0 0 last to years

Here is horse 1 I make this horse a contender off the 3rd line
Attached Images
 

Last edited by admin; 02-27-2007 at 05:27 AM.
admin is offline  
Old 02-27-2007, 04:59 AM   #18
admin
Administrator
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,643
race 2 from Tampa 022707

Here is horse 2
Attached Images
 
admin is offline  
Old 02-27-2007, 05:05 AM   #19
admin
Administrator
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,643
race 2 from Tampa 022707

Here is horse 3 A strong contener
I used 2 lines Line 1 and 3 both from 7 furlong races
this is my early horse
Attached Images
 

Last edited by admin; 02-27-2007 at 05:07 AM.
admin is offline  
Old 02-27-2007, 05:10 AM   #20
admin
Administrator
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,643
race 2 from Tampa 022707

here is horse 4
APV and CR are good but with horse 3 in the race # 4 has not been able to do
well againts this pace I see no color in the 1st 2nd str Fin. numbers
The 72 SR for line 2 is ok but its still much slower than horse 1
and it has the faster pace to deal with four is a NC
Attached Images
 

Last edited by admin; 02-27-2007 at 05:14 AM.
admin is offline  
 


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Sunland "Live" Tuesday - RDSS RichieP RDSS 32 02-26-2007 09:39 PM
Tampa Tuesday "Live" - Round 3 RichieP RDSS 47 02-07-2007 07:31 PM
Tampa Tuesday "Live" - Round 2 RichieP RDSS 37 01-31-2007 07:08 PM
NTRA - Mandatory Fg Race Friday - "Live" RichieP RDSS 14 01-26-2007 08:19 PM
Gulfstream "Live" Wednesday - Race 2 RichieP RDSS 25 01-25-2007 09:52 PM


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2026, vBulletin Solutions Inc.

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 04:15 PM.