Go Back   Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up > Hat Check - How Can We Help You? > Matchup Discussion
Get RDSS
Google Site Search Get RDSS Sartin Library RDSS FAQs Conduct Register Site FAQ Members List Today's Posts

Matchup Discussion Matchup Discussion and Practice

 
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
Old 08-18-2007, 10:11 AM   #1
admin
Administrator
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,643
Big win test

Here is a work up test I did
I had a feeling from somewhere that all my early horses
always faded. I asked if the early pressure or lack of it
made a differance and could my early horses go wire to wire

My test is to find 20 wire to wire winners that opened
big leads, That is over 1 BL at the first call and over 2 BL
second call, What happens to the final speed rating
on both the original and adjusted speed ratings ?

Here is the result of my test
Almost always The big win easy lead race is a once in
the past performance history of the horse.
The speed ratings is almost always the highest one it shows in
its history, It was only 20 races but I saw many horses
that this race messed them up They never were the same after
Many don't even get a lead at all after the race. and they slow down
in there speed ratings

Here is the work up
Big openings -Races were winner had a +1 lead at the first call
and a +3 BL win at the 2nd call and went wire to wire
Code:
#1  +3    Normal 93 orginal  Highest ever 91 adjusted 
#2  +4    Highest ever 61 0rg  Highest 75 on Ajusted
#3  +3    Highest ever 73 speed rating original Normal 76 adjusted 
#4  +2    Highest ever 81 on both screens 
#5  +1.5  Highest ever 81 on both screens
#6  +3    Highest ever 83 on Org. 85 on Adj.
#7  +2    Hihest ever  91 on Org. 79 on Adj
#8  +3    Not highest ever 63 but has not raced near that in the last 7 races 
          since then 38,55,0,39,0,42,26 speed ratings 
#9  +6    Not highest 99 on Org  but Highest 86 on Adj.
#10. +3.5 Highest ever 95 Org Slowed way down to below normal 75 on Adj
#11  +3   Normal 88 on Orig   Normal 85 on Adj,
#12  +5   had a 106 earlier. In this race had a 101 but again since than
          speed ratings 90,98,90,98,79
#13  +2   Highest ever 72 on Org. Very normal 66 on adj 
#14  +4   highest ever 68 org, 77 adj. 
#15. +2   Normal 49 original and 58 Adjusted 
#16  +6   High 90 org. Norm 81 Just held on. This horse also lost a 10 BL lead 
#17  +5   High 89 org. Highest ever 83 on adjusted
#18  +2.5 2nd Best 85 org  Normal 77 adjusted
#19  +2.5 Normal 74 org   Highest 81 Adjusted
#20. +9   Highest 82 org. and 2nd highst 82 Adj.

Last edited by admin; 08-18-2007 at 10:14 AM.
admin is offline   Reply With Quote
 


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Test gl45 Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum 28 06-12-2007 10:00 AM
Test Race - Dominant Early - BEU 03-05 R-1 partsnut Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum 1 03-05-2007 02:28 PM
Philly Test /Tuesday RichieP Speculator 8 06-13-2006 06:40 PM
Hollywood R1 Test Fast4522 Selections 1 06-19-2005 10:39 PM


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2026, vBulletin Solutions Inc.

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 05:37 AM.